{ "ticker": { "uuid": "948c31e9-8b4b-4d8d-aaa6-46d78bb6cea5", "symbol": "688168", "name": "BeijingABT Networks Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.442, "architecture_energy": 79.047, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.236, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.53, "rotation_up": 10.7, "upward_expansion": 20.18, "deceleration": 34.36, "rotation_down": 76.91, "downward_expansion": 91.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.873334, 47.256546, 52.886, 53.630712 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.060001, "trend_reference": 54.359619, "distance_from_trend": -0.318244, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.352992, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.033713, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.989082, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.300094, "excess_performance": -0.256891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.318244, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025722, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.033713, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.825948, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.339891, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.418238, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.300094, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.471079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27535490, "relative_activity": 1.947201, "balance": 0.471079, "dry_up": 1.800323, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.278761, "annualized_volatility": 0.801249, "from_high_reference": -0.540768, "from_low_reference": 0.219079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.359619, "fair_value_reference": 38.352992, "structural_low": 30.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.030163, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.025135, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.229389, "worst_return": -0.121879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.169219, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.182332, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.520092, "worst_return": -0.114425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.086441, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.061087, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.876106, "worst_return": -0.0846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-33.914001, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.296369, "energy": 37.862, "activity_lines": [ 49.920667, 55.143377, 57.052891, 56.34533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.41, "volume": 26593475, "typical_volume": 13189518.7, "trend": 54.913809, "fair_value": 38.274739, "relative_strength": -42.941708, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.097971, "energy": 73.151029, "activity_lines": [ 41.872, 50.434727, 54.658415, 54.782571 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.060001, "volume": 27535490, "typical_volume": 14141058.35, "trend": 54.359619, "fair_value": 38.352992, "relative_strength": -33.989082, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.4416, "energy": 79.046578, "activity_lines": [ 37.873334, 47.256546, 52.886, 53.630712 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }