{ "ticker": { "uuid": "949a3a1e-fbed-407b-ac95-e493843309df", "symbol": "001208", "name": "Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.857, "architecture_energy": 54.447, "architecture_maturity": 39.955, "architecture_confidence": 93.407, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.61, "rotation_up": 22.3, "upward_expansion": 8.38, "deceleration": 54.04, "rotation_down": 58.23, "downward_expansion": 81.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.03, 14.321676, 15.639929, 16.911876 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.1, "trend_reference": 18.959558, "distance_from_trend": -0.203568, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.657135, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295344, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.721269, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.299304, "excess_performance": -0.306704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203568, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018613, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295344, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.540516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127213, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.299304, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.693684, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 167873457, "relative_activity": 1.679025, "balance": 0.693684, "dry_up": 1.355609, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124202, "annualized_volatility": 0.607679, "from_high_reference": -0.526646, "from_low_reference": 0.359136 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.959558, "fair_value_reference": 11.657135, "structural_low": 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11.566867, "relative_strength": -23.994946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.662726, "energy": 74.623633, "activity_lines": [ 14.316667, 15.02447, 16.636025, 17.998436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.46, "volume": 119532402, "typical_volume": 97452355.55, "trend": 19.608558, "fair_value": 11.593751, "relative_strength": -19.330195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.86754, "energy": 63.274939, "activity_lines": [ 13.952, 14.604765, 16.21566, 17.585174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.33, "volume": 103019760, "typical_volume": 96078383.55, "trend": 19.257558, "fair_value": 11.619548, "relative_strength": -18.820709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.099034, "energy": 61.69373, "activity_lines": [ 13.673333, 14.265063, 15.825532, 17.180106 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.1, "volume": 167873457, "typical_volume": 99982683.9, "trend": 18.959558, "fair_value": 11.657135, "relative_strength": -12.721269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.857031, "energy": 54.447227, "activity_lines": [ 14.03, 14.321676, 15.639929, 16.911876 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }