{ "ticker": { "uuid": "949a8db0-d47f-4923-95bb-ca63dac25fdf", "symbol": "RADHIKAJWE", "name": "Radhika Jeweltech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 94.093, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.755, "architecture_energy": 59.26, "architecture_maturity": 10.19, "architecture_confidence": 66.44, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.57, "rotation_up": 73.04, "upward_expansion": 61.0, "deceleration": 22.45, "rotation_down": 16.2, "downward_expansion": 19.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.946667, 64.147818, 62.172095, 62.04286 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 69.440002, "trend_reference": 62.991, "distance_from_trend": 0.10238, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 76.01478, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086493, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.090695, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003158, "excess_performance": 0.040551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10238, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084003, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.086493, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025728, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030907, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068274, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003158, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.62914, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3065157, "relative_activity": 0.913206, "balance": 5.62914, "dry_up": 2.475463, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082517, "annualized_volatility": 0.50283, "from_high_reference": -0.318548, "from_low_reference": 0.388522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.991, "fair_value_reference": 76.01478, "structural_low": 50.009998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.03313, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.034975, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.031436, "worst_return": -0.034824, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.12835, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.175438, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.12835, "worst_return": -0.12835, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.303514, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.33426, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.303514, "worst_return": -0.303514, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 75.195329, "relative_strength": -14.305706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.141414, "energy": 22.670159, "activity_lines": [ 58.252666, 57.855091, 59.356476, 60.982881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 65.879997, "volume": 16430841, "typical_volume": 2660341.5, "trend": 63.76, "fair_value": 75.388205, "relative_strength": -9.192947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.914949, "energy": 10.706552, "activity_lines": [ 61.048665, 59.179454, 59.911142, 61.106215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.630001, "volume": 3225999, "typical_volume": 2775306.6, "trend": 63.323333, "fair_value": 75.572418, "relative_strength": -9.445077, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.89196, "energy": 19.649033, "activity_lines": [ 62.472666, 60.161272, 60.253285, 61.097828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.75, "volume": 10513361, "typical_volume": 3246261.1, "trend": 63.218666, "fair_value": 75.801643, "relative_strength": 0.157202, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.281254, "energy": 39.751627, "activity_lines": [ 66.138666, 62.491636, 61.355333, 61.641483 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.440002, "volume": 3065157, "typical_volume": 3356478.3, "trend": 62.991, "fair_value": 76.01478, "relative_strength": -3.090695, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.755365, "energy": 59.260156, "activity_lines": [ 67.946667, 64.147818, 62.172095, 62.04286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }