{ "ticker": { "uuid": "94b30cd5-b8bc-409e-8a00-988e807a6bb7", "symbol": "ATCO-A", "name": "Atlas Copco AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.193, "architecture_energy": 77.211, "architecture_maturity": 25.216, "architecture_confidence": 82.978, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 75.91, "upward_expansion": 92.03, "deceleration": 43.26, "rotation_down": 12.1, "downward_expansion": 16.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 203.080003, 198.83091, 191.337023, 186.991566 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 209.600006, "trend_reference": 183.827483, "distance_from_trend": 0.1402, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 167.586124, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2507, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.238614, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.131324, "excess_performance": 0.06983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.1402, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065678, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.2507, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149186, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082386, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076618, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131324, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.46559, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16508182, "relative_activity": 0.885699, "balance": 2.46559, "dry_up": 1.20526, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04949, "annualized_volatility": 0.313079, "from_high_reference": -0.012253, "from_low_reference": 0.480959 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 183.827483, "fair_value_reference": 167.586124, "structural_low": 151.261603, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.0076, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.00835, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.115864, "worst_return": -0.157239, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009251, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.000801, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.210283, "worst_return": -0.209013, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.127867, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.067468, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.169481, "worst_return": -0.326365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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60.635703, "activity_lines": [ 193.923334, 190.212727, 184.464219, 182.458254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 203.899994, "volume": 23011914, "typical_volume": 19726959.25, "trend": 181.506336, "fair_value": 166.718752, "relative_strength": 9.507611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.916495, "energy": 67.354338, "activity_lines": [ 197.269998, 193.430908, 186.816988, 183.991828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 201.100006, "volume": 23823513, "typical_volume": 19537293.7, "trend": 182.697747, "fair_value": 167.120197, "relative_strength": 6.21997, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.779697, "energy": 59.299228, "activity_lines": [ 199.146667, 195.575455, 188.752416, 185.255936 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 209.600006, "volume": 16508182, "typical_volume": 18638587.5, "trend": 183.827483, "fair_value": 167.586124, "relative_strength": 8.238614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.193239, "energy": 77.210957, "activity_lines": [ 203.080003, 198.83091, 191.337023, 186.991566 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }