{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "94c0cd29-c638-4fcf-82b6-602ec6465588",
    "symbol": "KGF",
    "name": "Kingfisher plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 58.891,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 40.083,
    "architecture_energy": 40.814,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.715,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.906,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.41,
        "rotation_up": 70.76,
        "upward_expansion": 44.37,
        "deceleration": 29.46,
        "rotation_down": 19.53,
        "downward_expansion": 21.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        310.3,
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        294.536311,
        298.013059
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 327.6,
    "trend_reference": 305.756025,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071443,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 270.439617,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.211361,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.549838,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.029053,
    "excess_performance": -0.095331,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071443,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013159,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211361,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126743,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005498,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096851,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029053,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.860664,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24508522,
      "relative_activity": 0.90214,
      "balance": 0.860664,
      "dry_up": 1.2195,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053478,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.412379,
      "from_high_reference": -0.11981,
      "from_low_reference": 0.363865
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 305.756025,
      "fair_value_reference": 270.439617,
      "structural_low": 266.4,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.007335,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
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        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
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        "worst_return": -0.147735,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033314,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
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        "worst_return": -0.260372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.090374,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021625,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.233482,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 28130654.85,
        "trend": 305.483302,
        "fair_value": 269.487432,
        "relative_strength": -6.770507,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -15.539884,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 308.6,
        "volume": 33958430,
        "typical_volume": 28072726.75,
        "trend": 305.379641,
        "fair_value": 269.883742,
        "relative_strength": -4.970997,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 2.986241,
        "energy": 14.002328,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 327.6,
        "volume": 24508522,
        "typical_volume": 27167081.25,
        "trend": 305.756025,
        "fair_value": 270.439617,
        "relative_strength": 0.549838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}