{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "94c16664-56de-41cd-aed7-22bd44ec1f86",
    "symbol": "ROBO",
    "name": "EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS TRUST ROBO GLOBAL ROBOTICS & AUTO INDX ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.184,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 20.962,
    "architecture_energy": 17.066,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.601,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.18,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.25,
        "rotation_up": 23.31,
        "upward_expansion": 47.05,
        "deceleration": 83.66,
        "rotation_down": 37.88,
        "downward_expansion": 29.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        80.762,
        81.374727,
        82.242,
        80.620903
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 84.44,
    "trend_reference": 78.593333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074391,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.187469,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.380021,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.406871,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.134794,
    "excess_performance": 0.009169,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074391,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058716,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.380021,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088264,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024069,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11701,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134794,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.725202,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 994186,
      "relative_activity": 1.003153,
      "balance": 0.725202,
      "dry_up": 0.75903,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061018,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289004,
      "from_high_reference": -0.067064,
      "from_low_reference": 0.369183
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.593333,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.187469,
      "structural_low": 65.3334,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.010772,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0185,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.16449,
        "worst_return": -0.049646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.151793,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020742,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.261922,
        "worst_return": -0.066977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.01325,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.125881,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302665,
        "worst_return": -0.00197,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.03164,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192807,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.119019,
        "worst_return": -0.055738,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033555,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.024469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.130809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.177436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.009931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031026,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.012886,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 60.716877,
        "relative_strength": -1.362657,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 16.509084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 77.83,
        "volume": 693496,
        "typical_volume": 1007522.8,
        "trend": 77.934,
        "fair_value": 60.841776,
        "relative_strength": -0.948006,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.25,
        "volume": 597867,
        "typical_volume": 987885.15,
        "trend": 78.218667,
        "fair_value": 60.993864,
        "relative_strength": -0.342658,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.644863,
        "energy": 16.306415,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.37,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.44,
        "volume": 994186,
        "typical_volume": 991061.1,
        "trend": 78.593333,
        "fair_value": 61.187469,
        "relative_strength": 2.406871,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.961877,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}