{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "94c36663-c498-473e-ab2a-34dc9699b868",
    "symbol": "LYTIX",
    "name": "Lytix Biopharma ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.813,
    "architecture_energy": 60.337,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.366,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.216,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.42,
        "rotation_up": 12.76,
        "upward_expansion": 12.03,
        "deceleration": 39.45,
        "rotation_down": 65.62,
        "downward_expansion": 85.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.810667,
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        9.528286,
        9.706516
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.5,
    "trend_reference": 9.765333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.129574,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.813205,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087902,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.902954,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.107143,
    "excess_performance": -0.232137,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129574,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025999,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087902,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.323045,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.18903,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218885,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107143,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.409439,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 367095,
      "relative_activity": 2.347584,
      "balance": 0.409439,
      "dry_up": 1.186243,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.111584,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.331383,
      "from_high_reference": -0.285714,
      "from_low_reference": 0.272455
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.765333,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.813205,
      "structural_low": 8.06,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.00361,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031194,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.535714,
        "worst_return": -0.209756,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.083333,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.093622,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.607843,
        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.084191,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.058996,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.112121,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.202532,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.729825,
        "worst_return": -0.4075,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.176471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.131579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
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        "return": 0.026258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 66902,
        "typical_volume": 253620.7,
        "trend": 9.591667,
        "fair_value": 7.684423,
        "relative_strength": -6.756692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.161426,
        "energy": 22.3386,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 258263.9,
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        "fair_value": 7.689872,
        "relative_strength": 2.985578,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 56.82488,
        "energy": 28.253817,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 263909.2,
        "trend": 9.806,
        "fair_value": 7.697564,
        "relative_strength": -0.084519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.19076,
        "energy": 30.992141,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 205346,
        "typical_volume": 270470.2,
        "trend": 9.931,
        "fair_value": 7.704615,
        "relative_strength": 0.90317,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.9434,
        "energy": 34.994815,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 266083.45,
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        "fair_value": 7.712949,
        "relative_strength": -1.558059,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.563064,
        "energy": 35.051674,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 6700,
        "typical_volume": 253374.95,
        "trend": 10.042,
        "fair_value": 7.722051,
        "relative_strength": -7.445824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.628393,
        "energy": 16.482603,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 93153,
        "typical_volume": 243805.7,
        "trend": 9.987,
        "fair_value": 7.725577,
        "relative_strength": -16.189162,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.419793,
        "energy": 16.580217,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 28925,
        "typical_volume": 217499.4,
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        "fair_value": 7.735833,
        "relative_strength": -10.027216,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.095041,
        "energy": 24.204028,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 9518,
        "typical_volume": 214083.0,
        "trend": 9.933333,
        "fair_value": 7.749872,
        "relative_strength": -6.083027,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.93727,
        "energy": 33.850911,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.432667,
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          10.104524,
          10.020538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 9.5,
        "volume": 2891,
        "typical_volume": 191539.95,
        "trend": 9.91,
        "fair_value": 7.762692,
        "relative_strength": -7.403414,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.506371,
        "energy": 40.283552,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.392,
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          9.992581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 9.6,
        "volume": 78889,
        "typical_volume": 182786.95,
        "trend": 9.896667,
        "fair_value": 7.779359,
        "relative_strength": -5.676335,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.142086,
        "energy": 31.903894,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.454667,
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          10.002143,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.98,
        "volume": 112779,
        "typical_volume": 170249.5,
        "trend": 9.867333,
        "fair_value": 7.788526,
        "relative_strength": -12.598989,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.002942,
        "energy": 29.450783,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.332,
          9.505636,
          9.894333,
          9.913441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.1,
        "volume": 95051,
        "typical_volume": 167448.1,
        "trend": 9.841333,
        "fair_value": 7.804551,
        "relative_strength": -13.288291,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.269463,
        "energy": 24.643831,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.244,
          9.377636,
          9.799857,
          9.863935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.7,
        "volume": 167053,
        "typical_volume": 150402.8,
        "trend": 9.798667,
        "fair_value": 7.815449,
        "relative_strength": -17.157516,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.964097,
        "energy": 45.313689,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.036,
          9.207818,
          9.66919,
          9.790301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.5,
        "volume": 367095,
        "typical_volume": 156371.4,
        "trend": 9.765333,
        "fair_value": 7.813205,
        "relative_strength": -18.902954,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.813445,
        "energy": 60.337427,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.810667,
          9.044364,
          9.528286,
          9.706516
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}