{ "ticker": { "uuid": "94c6c99a-946f-4386-b02f-aaf052d6a840", "symbol": "XPER", "name": "Xperi Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.785, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.773, "architecture_energy": 19.389, "architecture_maturity": 60.524, "architecture_confidence": 81.409, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.7, "rotation_up": 21.09, "upward_expansion": 54.58, "deceleration": 90.89, "rotation_down": 34.43, "downward_expansion": 20.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.442667, 7.620545, 7.571476, 7.228086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 7.14, "trend_reference": 6.773333, "distance_from_trend": 0.054134, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.251154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134666, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.132043, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.327138, "excess_performance": 0.201513, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054134, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089953, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.134666, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065425, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02132, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115722, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.327138, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.152619, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3017446, "relative_activity": 1.485321, "balance": 1.152619, "dry_up": 0.996997, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092316, "annualized_volatility": 0.391687, "from_high_reference": -0.184, "from_low_reference": 0.409674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.773333, "fair_value_reference": 8.251154, "structural_low": 5.065, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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0.016539, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.001276, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.02584, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.158621, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.138088, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.003454, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": 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"fair_value": 8.414295, "relative_strength": 15.249205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.17276, "energy": 56.150218, "activity_lines": [ 7.996, 7.882727, 7.345476, 6.944903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.79, "volume": 1351501, "typical_volume": 2091157.15, "trend": 6.571, "fair_value": 8.381282, "relative_strength": 8.520247, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.883974, "energy": 49.007918, "activity_lines": [ 7.97, 7.885455, 7.43481, 7.027054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.3, "volume": 1599550, "typical_volume": 2045488.05, "trend": 6.619667, "fair_value": 8.346667, "relative_strength": 3.818466, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.410336, "energy": 35.53721, "activity_lines": [ 7.756, 7.784182, 7.466524, 7.074086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.57, "volume": 1784672, "typical_volume": 1967826.2, "trend": 6.674333, "fair_value": 8.313526, "relative_strength": 8.673789, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.924826, "energy": 27.253563, "activity_lines": [ 7.659333, 7.745273, 7.518381, 7.135398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.71, "volume": 1699975, "typical_volume": 1968604.4, "trend": 6.739, "fair_value": 8.278718, "relative_strength": 9.285323, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.9918, "energy": 20.503743, "activity_lines": [ 7.634, 7.734364, 7.576857, 7.202215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.14, "volume": 3017446, "typical_volume": 2031511.0, "trend": 6.773333, "fair_value": 8.251154, "relative_strength": -2.132043, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.773297, "energy": 19.389137, "activity_lines": [ 7.442667, 7.620545, 7.571476, 7.228086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }