{ "ticker": { "uuid": "94d1e308-4899-4603-bc87-f8248b204aa5", "symbol": "GOSS", "name": "Gossamer Bio Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.703, "architecture_energy": 60.546, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 63.135, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.7, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 18.0, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 45.0, "downward_expansion": 72.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.165727, 0.16544, 0.204873, 0.33742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.178, "trend_reference": 0.7012, "distance_from_trend": -0.746149, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.189116, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.850309, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -90.558447, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.921239, "excess_performance": -1.108693, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.746149, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.577824, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.850309, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.905584, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049499, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.921239, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.81436, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59642500, "relative_activity": 0.637283, "balance": 1.81436, "dry_up": 2.493819, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.332325, "annualized_volatility": 2.43457, "from_high_reference": -0.954005, "from_low_reference": 0.564148 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.7012, "fair_value_reference": 1.189116, "structural_low": 0.1138, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.005263, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.009933, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.969365, "worst_return": -0.565113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.078654, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.064624, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.984722, "worst_return": -0.650489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.37345, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.232823, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.488542, "worst_return": -0.361037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.1701, "volume": 123054774, "typical_volume": 63083138.5, "trend": 0.972083, "fair_value": 1.209863, "relative_strength": -91.218322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.786332, "energy": 67.595934, "activity_lines": [ 0.168727, 0.17606, 0.239044, 0.475235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.136, "volume": 96018885, "typical_volume": 63221693.8, "trend": 0.86895, "fair_value": 1.202529, "relative_strength": -92.710807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.382731, "energy": 70.778827, "activity_lines": [ 0.158193, 0.165225, 0.223674, 0.421294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1695, "volume": 654857194, "typical_volume": 93797165.6, "trend": 0.7786, "fair_value": 1.195475, "relative_strength": -90.744473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.709141, "energy": 65.488858, "activity_lines": [ 0.16096, 0.164191, 0.213232, 0.376168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.178, "volume": 59642500, "typical_volume": 93588719.75, "trend": 0.7012, "fair_value": 1.189116, "relative_strength": -90.558447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.703099, "energy": 60.545764, "activity_lines": [ 0.165727, 0.16544, 0.204873, 0.33742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }