{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "94d20c01-b78b-4eb9-b8f1-a224cdff87af",
    "symbol": "GPRK",
    "name": "GeoPark Ltd",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.188,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 14.121,
    "architecture_energy": 7.226,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.679,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.186,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.69,
        "rotation_up": 27.51,
        "upward_expansion": 50.76,
        "deceleration": 81.28,
        "rotation_down": 24.46,
        "downward_expansion": 22.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.693333,
        9.723818,
        9.755131,
        9.580101
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.43,
    "trend_reference": 9.243702,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.020154,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.075666,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.167706,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.876346,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.13999,
    "excess_performance": 0.014365,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020154,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091639,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167706,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001586,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018763,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090795,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13999,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.522035,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1847529,
      "relative_activity": 0.576703,
      "balance": 1.522035,
      "dry_up": 0.580079,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.108737,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.380603,
      "from_high_reference": -0.20556,
      "from_low_reference": 0.655694
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.243702,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.075666,
      "structural_low": 7.874409,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.011268,
        "positive_rate": 0.411765,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033106,
        "regime_survival": 0.411765,
        "best_return": 0.325503,
        "worst_return": -0.189961,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.008937,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022152,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.170667,
        "worst_return": -0.203148,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.110904,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.248752,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.113552,
        "worst_return": -0.326026,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.023289,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001356,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.42197,
        "worst_return": -0.297449,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.210291,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118557,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.037675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.120327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.091496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.020129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 4114351.75,
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        "fair_value": 8.050178,
        "relative_strength": 10.296414,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.497984,
        "energy": 19.592499,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.0,
        "volume": 1856905,
        "typical_volume": 3945290.35,
        "trend": 9.082926,
        "fair_value": 8.059954,
        "relative_strength": 14.020366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.56467,
        "energy": 15.727057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.75,
        "volume": 1973358,
        "typical_volume": 3594774.6,
        "trend": 9.166328,
        "fair_value": 8.070251,
        "relative_strength": 9.432646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.202235,
        "energy": 15.094382,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.776,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.43,
        "volume": 1847529,
        "typical_volume": 3203604.6,
        "trend": 9.243702,
        "fair_value": 8.075666,
        "relative_strength": 1.876346,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.12136,
        "energy": 7.22617,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}