{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "94f6d8a8-5841-4948-951d-f63d0f95de95",
    "symbol": "HRMY",
    "name": "Harmony Biosciences Holdings",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 80.157,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.367,
    "architecture_energy": 44.965,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.549,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.355,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.3,
        "rotation_up": 50.77,
        "upward_expansion": 76.91,
        "deceleration": 67.91,
        "rotation_down": 22.43,
        "downward_expansion": 5.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.223333,
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        34.149619,
        33.022882
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 38.41,
    "trend_reference": 32.502,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.181773,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 32.84734,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169349,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.407682,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.030588,
    "excess_performance": -0.156866,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181773,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01517,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169349,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22759,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014077,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.238071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030588,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.965879,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5994175,
      "relative_activity": 1.476482,
      "balance": 1.965879,
      "dry_up": 1.18291,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076953,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.422183,
      "from_high_reference": -0.060191,
      "from_low_reference": 0.505094
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.502,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.84734,
      "structural_low": 25.902,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.061699,
        "positive_rate": 0.230769,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.230769,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041403,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.0996,
        "worst_return": -0.254269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118187,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.010561,
        "worst_return": -0.30396,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.169372,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.148793,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.364803,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.184627,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.680459,
        "energy": 53.942635,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4448879.2,
        "trend": 32.928667,
        "fair_value": 32.796699,
        "relative_strength": -2.261279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.531175,
        "energy": 65.199179,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.84,
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        "typical_volume": 4168728.85,
        "trend": 32.806333,
        "fair_value": 32.80625,
        "relative_strength": -4.712742,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.765635,
        "energy": 66.335255,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.77,
        "volume": 4730740,
        "typical_volume": 3880215.4,
        "trend": 32.671667,
        "fair_value": 32.794455,
        "relative_strength": -8.386741,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.013057,
        "energy": 49.846453,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.480667,
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          32.299419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.32,
        "volume": 5300382,
        "typical_volume": 3927677.5,
        "trend": 32.578,
        "fair_value": 32.79516,
        "relative_strength": -2.099274,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.991179,
        "energy": 40.595741,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.479333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.24,
        "volume": 3184072,
        "typical_volume": 3944945.1,
        "trend": 32.506667,
        "fair_value": 32.805673,
        "relative_strength": -2.459451,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.204054,
        "energy": 37.373225,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.315333,
          35.122182,
          33.539952,
          32.642022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.41,
        "volume": 5994175,
        "typical_volume": 4059769.15,
        "trend": 32.502,
        "fair_value": 32.84734,
        "relative_strength": 1.407682,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.36718,
        "energy": 44.965116,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.223333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}