{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "95047ced-fd08-4563-800c-e6481c15cf5c",
    "symbol": "MSV",
    "name": "Minco Silver Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.268,
    "architecture_energy": 93.934,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.395,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.6,
        "rotation_up": 87.81,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.847333,
        0.728182,
        0.61881,
        0.576043
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.9,
    "trend_reference": 0.539667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.667696,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.286603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 2.140237,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 73.571664,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.956522,
    "excess_performance": 0.8361,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.667696,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157255,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.140237,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.238764,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.735717,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.594347,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.956522,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.610235,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 142700,
      "relative_activity": 0.672954,
      "balance": 1.610235,
      "dry_up": 2.158453,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.100855,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.798596,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010989,
      "from_low_reference": 2.214286
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.539667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.286603,
      "structural_low": 0.42,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.05,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021777,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.368421,
        "worst_return": -0.2,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.027778,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.105601,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.636364,
        "worst_return": -0.24,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.4,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.310399,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 1.107143,
        "worst_return": -0.15,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.090909,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.130948,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.1,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052632,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052632,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.105263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.363636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": 0.25,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
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        "return": 0.210526,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066667,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "trend": 0.450667,
        "fair_value": 0.252436,
        "relative_strength": 14.136931,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.95817,
        "energy": 9.747875,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.475333,
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          0.485,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.48,
        "volume": 464200,
        "typical_volume": 250600.0,
        "trend": 0.456,
        "fair_value": 0.254231,
        "relative_strength": 13.946386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.559017,
        "energy": 9.144904,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.476667,
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          0.480559
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 240400,
        "typical_volume": 233355.0,
        "trend": 0.461667,
        "fair_value": 0.256026,
        "relative_strength": 10.908337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 7.097507,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 228500.0,
        "trend": 0.466333,
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        "relative_strength": 6.769271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 5.175431,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.476667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.44,
        "volume": 31500,
        "typical_volume": 221660.0,
        "trend": 0.470667,
        "fair_value": 0.259359,
        "relative_strength": 0.3073,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.593484,
        "energy": 22.173476,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 201700.0,
        "trend": 0.475667,
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        "relative_strength": 2.597968,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 0.479333,
        "fair_value": 0.262692,
        "relative_strength": -2.46506,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 48.464699,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 165825.0,
        "trend": 0.484667,
        "fair_value": 0.264615,
        "relative_strength": 7.718282,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.7292,
        "energy": 31.910056,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.462667,
          0.465818,
          0.469524,
          0.478645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.55,
        "volume": 129800,
        "typical_volume": 163435.0,
        "trend": 0.491333,
        "fair_value": 0.266923,
        "relative_strength": 18.808607,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.134784,
        "energy": 18.4104,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.492667,
          0.480727,
          0.477,
          0.48286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.54,
        "volume": 468200,
        "typical_volume": 183595.0,
        "trend": 0.496667,
        "fair_value": 0.269295,
        "relative_strength": 15.62156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.262538,
        "energy": 34.595349,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.514,
          0.492182,
          0.483095,
          0.486
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.87,
        "volume": 987100,
        "typical_volume": 218040.0,
        "trend": 0.513333,
        "fair_value": 0.273654,
        "relative_strength": 82.668667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 64.693058,
        "energy": 80.053071,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.638667,
          0.562545,
          0.52019,
          0.510086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.79,
        "volume": 323000,
        "typical_volume": 217180.0,
        "trend": 0.517333,
        "fair_value": 0.277436,
        "relative_strength": 62.813972,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.075631,
        "energy": 93.551195,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.709333,
          0.611273,
          0.548,
          0.527935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.89,
        "volume": 378000,
        "typical_volume": 228590.0,
        "trend": 0.527,
        "fair_value": 0.281987,
        "relative_strength": 80.399268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.536185,
        "energy": 96.567238,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.79,
          0.672545,
          0.583905,
          0.551978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.9,
        "volume": 142700,
        "typical_volume": 212050.0,
        "trend": 0.539667,
        "fair_value": 0.286603,
        "relative_strength": 73.571664,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.267588,
        "energy": 93.934108,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.847333,
          0.728182,
          0.61881,
          0.576043
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}