{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95247b2b-e7eb-4d12-9c1c-ddcadcb90853", "symbol": "CINF", "name": "CI Global Infrastructure Private Pool - ETF C$ Series", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.647, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.034, "architecture_energy": 15.242, "architecture_maturity": 66.634, "architecture_confidence": 75.781, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.63, "rotation_up": 28.15, "upward_expansion": 59.12, "deceleration": 85.33, "rotation_down": 29.56, "downward_expansion": 20.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.970584, 34.096478, 34.032847, 33.766153 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.540001, "trend_reference": 33.201995, "distance_from_trend": 0.01018, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.845748, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24936, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.400185, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.073595, "excess_performance": -0.046826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01018, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048699, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24936, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059387, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049748, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073595, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.758974, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18300, "relative_activity": 1.756238, "balance": 0.758974, "dry_up": 0.856526, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017241, "annualized_volatility": 0.129907, "from_high_reference": -0.033455, "from_low_reference": 0.192404 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.201995, "fair_value_reference": 26.845748, "structural_low": 31.240824, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": 0.00789, "positive_rate": 0.627907, "directional_follow_through": 0.627907, "median_excess_return": -0.001558, "regime_survival": 0.744186, "best_return": 0.081738, "worst_return": -0.067188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.017019, "positive_rate": 0.8125, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": -0.012502, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.122934, "worst_return": -0.038395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.047387, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.002317, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.14997, "worst_return": -0.000285, "sufficient": true }, { 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61.686768, "energy": 59.683676, "activity_lines": [ 34.221598, 34.058685, 33.838664, 33.331397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.331657, "volume": 5300, "typical_volume": 14035.0, "trend": 32.578502, "fair_value": 26.530778, "relative_strength": -0.889543, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.608554, "energy": 56.013259, "activity_lines": [ 34.276295, 34.125107, 33.913978, 33.455282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.132053, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 12800.0, "trend": 32.747785, "fair_value": 26.608942, "relative_strength": -1.198722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.276196, "energy": 48.956999, "activity_lines": [ 34.235136, 34.150706, 33.962364, 33.555511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.660999, "volume": 11100, "typical_volume": 12705.0, "trend": 32.932093, "fair_value": 26.690972, "relative_strength": 0.156641, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.233156, "energy": 52.607461, "activity_lines": [ 34.382887, 34.26578, 34.057703, 33.678944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.82, "volume": 5200, "typical_volume": 11895.0, "trend": 33.076163, "fair_value": 26.769845, "relative_strength": -1.689461, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.749098, "energy": 33.517454, "activity_lines": [ 34.20169, 34.204388, 34.062132, 33.736228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.540001, "volume": 18300, "typical_volume": 10420.0, "trend": 33.201995, "fair_value": 26.845748, "relative_strength": -5.400185, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.033651, "energy": 15.242442, "activity_lines": [ 33.970584, 34.096478, 34.032847, 33.766153 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }