{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9546ee96-fc9f-4edf-99da-59bff429aa34", "symbol": "RHIM", "name": "RHI Magnesita N.V.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.415, "architecture_energy": 46.133, "architecture_maturity": 24.69, "architecture_confidence": 90.072, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.73, "rotation_up": 58.19, "upward_expansion": 80.26, "deceleration": 50.84, "rotation_down": 19.07, "downward_expansion": 9.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 2956.0, 2920.0, 2873.473812, 2834.338256 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3115.0, "trend_reference": 2809.783333, "distance_from_trend": 0.108626, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3000.999358, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.037988, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.541268, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.125011, "excess_performance": 0.058732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.108626, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053704, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.037988, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091062, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.115413, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090672, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125011, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.177564, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104281, "relative_activity": 1.459836, "balance": 1.177564, "dry_up": 1.167091, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070512, "annualized_volatility": 0.558275, "from_high_reference": -0.080743, "from_low_reference": 0.623063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2809.783333, "fair_value_reference": 3000.999358, "structural_low": 2204.093792, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.011712, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.007855, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.207581, "worst_return": -0.275037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.033757, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.064196, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.089164, "worst_return": -0.163325, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.115085, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.058732, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.15775, "worst_return": -0.386969, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 75906.85, "trend": 2795.746411, "fair_value": 3000.16343, "relative_strength": 1.752985, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.98841, "energy": 17.072552, "activity_lines": [ 2875.333333, 2878.818182, 2839.374792, 2813.74125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3115.0, "volume": 104281, "typical_volume": 71433.35, "trend": 2809.783333, "fair_value": 3000.999358, "relative_strength": 11.541268, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.41543, "energy": 46.133098, "activity_lines": [ 2956.0, 2920.0, 2873.473812, 2834.338256 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }