{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9549640a-c1c6-40ba-92e3-29d74a89943a", "symbol": "B1WA34", "name": "BorgWarner Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.812, "architecture_energy": 35.368, "architecture_maturity": 73.352, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.68, "rotation_up": 23.76, "upward_expansion": 58.4, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 36.28, "downward_expansion": 22.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 334.201996, 343.148362, 335.967316, 320.594334 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 346.799988, "trend_reference": 300.41499, "distance_from_trend": 0.154403, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 210.100819, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.650636, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.015695, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.338118, "excess_performance": 0.395166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.154403, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144138, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.650636, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291001, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.240157, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.338118, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 22.738318, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49, "relative_activity": 0.354687, "balance": 22.738318, "dry_up": 0.282302, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050221, "annualized_volatility": 0.375754, "from_high_reference": -0.072182, "from_low_reference": 0.713982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 300.41499, "fair_value_reference": 210.100819, "structural_low": 259.169952, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.056104, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.111564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.366427, "worst_return": -0.112091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.044214, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.007431, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.280367, "worst_return": -0.237361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.062602, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016341, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.271007, "worst_return": -0.227634, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.925124, "energy": 65.574756, "activity_lines": [ 361.456, 357.135442, 328.973207, 310.925064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 326.040009, "volume": 17, "typical_volume": 131.6, "trend": 291.414293, "fair_value": 207.727777, "relative_strength": 17.460603, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.722596, "energy": 50.715994, "activity_lines": [ 348.675336, 353.568782, 330.732408, 313.340501 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 324.059998, "volume": 90, "typical_volume": 135.85, "trend": 294.161859, "fair_value": 208.443582, "relative_strength": 15.986364, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.813511, "energy": 34.265301, "activity_lines": [ 338.376001, 348.638844, 331.98755, 315.446676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 324.059998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 135.7, "trend": 296.909424, "fair_value": 209.159388, "relative_strength": 13.011564, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.087943, "energy": 37.507173, "activity_lines": [ 331.35, 343.740727, 333.029185, 317.375588 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 346.799988, "volume": 49, "typical_volume": 138.15, "trend": 300.41499, "fair_value": 210.100819, "relative_strength": 24.015695, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.811733, "energy": 35.368102, "activity_lines": [ 334.201996, 343.148362, 335.967316, 320.594334 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }