{ "ticker": { "uuid": "955cee92-a777-465b-b5db-b560418ab808", "symbol": "MOTHERSON", "name": "Samvardhana Motherson International Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.488, "architecture_energy": 77.467, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.064, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.38, "rotation_up": 66.38, "upward_expansion": 86.29, "deceleration": 51.72, "rotation_down": 18.23, "downward_expansion": 15.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 154.228768, 150.449657, 144.193859, 138.165922 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 168.5, "trend_reference": 130.941718, "distance_from_trend": 0.286832, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.148205, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.649564, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 39.680276, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.431185, "excess_performance": 0.474894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.286832, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091387, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.649564, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.257319, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.396803, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15245, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.431185, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.921779, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 220798532, "relative_activity": 2.524562, "balance": 3.921779, "dry_up": 1.265805, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052422, "annualized_volatility": 0.382511, "from_high_reference": -0.007656, "from_low_reference": 0.884314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 130.941718, "fair_value_reference": 102.148205, "structural_low": 102.82, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.023865, "positive_rate": 0.580645, "directional_follow_through": 0.580645, "median_excess_return": -0.007319, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 0.339422, "worst_return": -0.235841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.05966, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.058899, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.51279, "worst_return": -0.263284, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.150647, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.07305, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.970207, "worst_return": -0.35543, "sufficient": true }, { 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"up", "direction": 62.497114, "energy": 53.109044, "activity_lines": [ 145.797214, 144.227142, 136.405392, 131.858287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 144.169998, "volume": 85353990, "typical_volume": 83399044.55, "trend": 127.310572, "fair_value": 100.393456, "relative_strength": 24.33347, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.71726, "energy": 48.525616, "activity_lines": [ 145.262351, 144.688907, 137.723377, 132.996668 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 145.550003, "volume": 62548298, "typical_volume": 82804232.8, "trend": 128.198207, "fair_value": 100.918247, "relative_strength": 27.439068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.381626, "energy": 39.712745, "activity_lines": [ 145.119567, 145.180854, 139.119255, 134.173405 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 150.75, "volume": 74129266, "typical_volume": 81017806.0, "trend": 129.167793, "fair_value": 101.47972, "relative_strength": 27.480646, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.321216, "energy": 47.976949, "activity_lines": [ 146.69261, 146.334074, 140.900086, 135.62836 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 168.5, "volume": 220798532, "typical_volume": 87460139.0, "trend": 130.941718, "fair_value": 102.148205, "relative_strength": 39.680276, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.488306, "energy": 77.466638, "activity_lines": [ 154.228768, 150.449657, 144.193859, 138.165922 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }