{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9563b3ee-92e8-4bd3-863b-38efadeceaa1",
    "symbol": "AKM",
    "name": "Aspire Mining Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.278,
    "architecture_energy": 72.233,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.387,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.586,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 11.29,
        "upward_expansion": 16.28,
        "deceleration": 37.81,
        "rotation_down": 73.24,
        "downward_expansion": 91.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.2035,
        0.210364,
        0.220667,
        0.228317
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.21,
    "trend_reference": 0.241333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.129834,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.228404,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080576,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.783536,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.222222,
    "excess_performance": -0.285928,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129834,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043909,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080576,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192991,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187835,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134645,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222222,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.924949,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 261450,
      "relative_activity": 1.071262,
      "balance": 0.924949,
      "dry_up": 0.873644,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084249,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.384324,
      "from_high_reference": -0.34375,
      "from_low_reference": 0.166667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.241333,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.228404,
      "structural_low": 0.18,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.033898,
        "positive_rate": 0.421053,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012774,
        "regime_survival": 0.842105,
        "best_return": 0.263158,
        "worst_return": -0.135135,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.038462,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.051758,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.622951,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.101539,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066284,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.639344,
        "worst_return": -0.217949,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.065789,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.144915,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.282051,
        "worst_return": 0.018868,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.542373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.7,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.074074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.122807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.018868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.087719,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.163636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.06383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.045455,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 174396,
        "typical_volume": 297240.05,
        "trend": 0.246667,
        "fair_value": 0.22616,
        "relative_strength": -19.343163,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.888192,
        "energy": 73.349271,
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          0.213333,
          0.222318,
          0.228964,
          0.236618
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.195,
        "volume": 282814,
        "typical_volume": 282540.75,
        "trend": 0.244667,
        "fair_value": 0.22691,
        "relative_strength": -20.657797,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.499554,
        "energy": 78.620183,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2055,
          0.216273,
          0.225226,
          0.233285
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 134219,
        "typical_volume": 260443.25,
        "trend": 0.242333,
        "fair_value": 0.227647,
        "relative_strength": -20.306623,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.314918,
        "energy": 77.809037,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.202333,
          0.212045,
          0.222345,
          0.230403
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.21,
        "volume": 261450,
        "typical_volume": 244057.95,
        "trend": 0.241333,
        "fair_value": 0.228404,
        "relative_strength": -18.783536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.277518,
        "energy": 72.232603,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2035,
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          0.220667,
          0.228317
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}