{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95653fec-ad61-49c4-ae5f-f1bfe1f048b9", "symbol": "MTX", "name": "Minerals Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.853, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.433, "architecture_energy": 8.63, "architecture_maturity": 18.136, "architecture_confidence": 77.756, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.99, "rotation_up": 26.18, "upward_expansion": 46.58, "deceleration": 82.07, "rotation_down": 23.66, "downward_expansion": 24.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.166, 75.537636, 75.781902, 74.670991 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 75.29, "trend_reference": 73.071416, "distance_from_trend": 0.030362, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 67.939161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.108197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.814764, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.037957, "excess_performance": -0.087668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030362, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079026, "read": "Rising" 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64.753399, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.032112, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.039721, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.092229, "worst_return": -0.128725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.047568, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.076385, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.159271, "worst_return": -0.300996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.036765, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.059074, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.059518, "worst_return": -0.30501, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.573968, "energy": 14.085675, "activity_lines": [ 74.914, 75.702897, 75.716634, 74.507959 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.29, "volume": 1553787, "typical_volume": 1119813.25, "trend": 73.071416, "fair_value": 67.939161, "relative_strength": -0.814764, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.433347, "energy": 8.630409, "activity_lines": [ 75.166, 75.537636, 75.781902, 74.670991 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }