{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9571b304-81de-43bf-acdd-45b960e97657", "symbol": "LFGY", "name": "YIELDMAX CRYPTO INDUSTRY & TECH PORTFOLIO OPTION INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 64.647, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.314, "architecture_energy": 34.337, "architecture_maturity": 4.542, "architecture_confidence": 69.407, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.44, "rotation_up": 16.8, "upward_expansion": 20.62, "deceleration": 53.4, "rotation_down": 60.3, "downward_expansion": 50.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.323942, 19.687891, 20.414249, 20.185836 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.27, "trend_reference": 19.90233, "distance_from_trend": -0.031772, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.461605, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058236, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.416628, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.083881, "excess_performance": -0.041743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031772, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008868, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.058236, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174166, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119238, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083881, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.790568, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 161792, "relative_activity": 0.574555, "balance": 0.790568, "dry_up": 0.768222, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091161, "annualized_volatility": 0.366997, "from_high_reference": -0.25007, "from_low_reference": 0.18664 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.90233, "fair_value_reference": 20.461605, "structural_low": 16.594221, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.674014, "volume": 186877, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.866173, "volume": 219346, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.771269, "volume": 165614, "typical_volume": 317111.05, "trend": 19.972672, "fair_value": 20.492305, "relative_strength": -12.291693, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.193628, "energy": 24.951161, "activity_lines": [ 19.527078, 20.200493, 20.634494, 20.279106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.197241, "volume": 318559, "typical_volume": 321525.7, "trend": 19.940266, "fair_value": 20.476316, "relative_strength": -15.331947, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.257472, "energy": 32.71954, "activity_lines": [ 19.36504, 19.910319, 20.522459, 20.229079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.27, "volume": 161792, "typical_volume": 281595.5, "trend": 19.90233, "fair_value": 20.461605, "relative_strength": -17.416628, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.31402, "energy": 34.337183, "activity_lines": [ 19.323942, 19.687891, 20.414249, 20.185836 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }