{ "ticker": { "uuid": "957e4843-5386-4893-86a8-99b084518a1e", "symbol": "4931", "name": "STL Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.8, "architecture_energy": 23.204, "architecture_maturity": 57.53, "architecture_confidence": 95.236, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.54, "rotation_up": 36.0, "upward_expansion": 58.62, "deceleration": 84.51, "rotation_down": 27.59, "downward_expansion": 19.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 220.633333, 222.638231, 217.077439, 201.258039 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 263.0, "trend_reference": 182.003457, "distance_from_trend": 0.445027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.825444, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.960863, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.745458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.891928, "excess_performance": 0.450556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.445027, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139963, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.960863, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.48312, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.127455, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.227332, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.891928, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.934684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43782402, "relative_activity": 0.957409, "balance": 1.934684, "dry_up": 0.595715, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.169501, "annualized_volatility": 0.745688, "from_high_reference": -0.073812, "from_low_reference": 1.252677 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 182.003457, "fair_value_reference": 88.825444, "structural_low": 117.739408, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.045657, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.034909, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.338068, "worst_return": -0.036545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.361027, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.261791, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.946023, "worst_return": 0.051339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.324774, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.331078, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.39698, "worst_return": -0.023014, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 229.62168, 231.821973, 208.144124, 191.940216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 198.5, "volume": 14306764, "typical_volume": 45106695.45, "trend": 177.549996, "fair_value": 85.318717, "relative_strength": -10.979162, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.13144, "energy": 23.468785, "activity_lines": [ 217.169845, 226.620375, 209.324824, 193.32614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 177.5, "volume": 16948886, "typical_volume": 45105035.85, "trend": 177.629163, "fair_value": 86.222204, "relative_strength": -19.205735, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.690763, "energy": 17.832112, "activity_lines": [ 201.733333, 217.292525, 208.1822, 193.322914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 216.5, "volume": 33930321, "typical_volume": 45753104.5, "trend": 178.876409, "fair_value": 87.372672, "relative_strength": -3.856457, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.014164, "energy": 22.56835, "activity_lines": [ 202.733333, 215.642025, 210.601207, 195.83071 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 263.0, "volume": 43782402, "typical_volume": 45730086.95, "trend": 182.003457, "fair_value": 88.825444, "relative_strength": 12.745458, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.799701, "energy": 23.203798, "activity_lines": [ 220.633333, 222.638231, 217.077439, 201.258039 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }