{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95960bb7-3460-4df0-abb3-7a18d95ff906", "symbol": "688328", "name": "Shenzhen S-king Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.433, "architecture_energy": 22.086, "architecture_maturity": 75.565, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.81, "rotation_up": 25.77, "upward_expansion": 57.29, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 33.77, "downward_expansion": 20.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.905332, 79.981818, 74.469098, 66.438414 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 76.949997, "trend_reference": 55.857667, "distance_from_trend": 0.377609, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.724924, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.775481, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 78.054317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.379266, "excess_performance": 1.422469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.377609, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.464961, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.775481, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261878, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.780543, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052743, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.379266, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.721138, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46439989, "relative_activity": 1.252856, "balance": 2.721138, "dry_up": 1.391127, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.265066, "annualized_volatility": 1.109931, "from_high_reference": -0.371426, "from_low_reference": 2.218364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.857667, "fair_value_reference": 27.724924, "structural_low": 30.954833, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.036925, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.0105, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.155186, "worst_return": -0.161705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.089325, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.081337, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.225431, "worst_return": -0.079733, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.169265, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.170553, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.456864, "worst_return": 0.168126, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.109331, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.011772, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.077218, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.202114, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019022, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011727, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.775105, "energy": 57.198937, "activity_lines": [ 90.488, 84.09059, 71.79343, 62.685518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.599998, "volume": 56551577, "typical_volume": 38278561.35, "trend": 53.117657, "fair_value": 27.192906, "relative_strength": 93.029293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.01507, "energy": 46.769811, "activity_lines": [ 86.799333, 83.788, 73.337494, 64.375895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.400002, "volume": 49254386, "typical_volume": 38133617.85, "trend": 54.26329, "fair_value": 27.40787, "relative_strength": 51.804471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.706285, "energy": 28.939181, "activity_lines": [ 78.070667, 80.499273, 73.253304, 64.974756 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.949997, "volume": 46439989, "typical_volume": 37067314.05, "trend": 55.857667, "fair_value": 27.724924, "relative_strength": 78.054317, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.432911, "energy": 22.085957, "activity_lines": [ 75.905332, 79.981818, 74.469098, 66.438414 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }