{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95985731-f33e-49b3-b4d1-caaa52be687e", "symbol": "AZN1N", "name": "AstraZeneca PLC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -90.583, "architecture_energy": 95.608, "architecture_maturity": 31.159, "architecture_confidence": 74.685, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.49, "rotation_up": 8.27, "upward_expansion": 21.83, "deceleration": 37.05, "rotation_down": 86.21, "downward_expansion": 97.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 2890.693053, 2983.164897, 3079.893932, 3152.189531 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2784.0, "trend_reference": 3235.289202, "distance_from_trend": -0.13949, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2811.640882, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009831, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.630619, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.162892, "excess_performance": -0.108225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.13949, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023167, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.009831, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136306, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05846, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.162892, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.88922, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3246, "relative_activity": 5.604282, "balance": 0.88922, "dry_up": 4.397013, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033002, "annualized_volatility": 0.215817, "from_high_reference": -0.231662, "from_low_reference": 0.029686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3235.289202, "fair_value_reference": 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"energy": 89.0042, "activity_lines": [ 3047.118053, 3109.068044, 3169.417694, 3224.39151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2944.845274, "volume": 4578, "typical_volume": 318.1, "trend": 3263.502275, "fair_value": 2804.65436, "relative_strength": -8.297644, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.533045, "energy": 72.833987, "activity_lines": [ 2998.050587, 3072.764852, 3142.398965, 3203.098421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2942.451069, "volume": 2134, "typical_volume": 424.8, "trend": 3252.03659, "fair_value": 2808.657771, "relative_strength": -8.947189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.378641, "energy": 89.5943, "activity_lines": [ 2965.195367, 3039.610983, 3117.508097, 3182.38544 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2784.0, "volume": 3246, "typical_volume": 579.2, "trend": 3235.289202, "fair_value": 2811.640882, "relative_strength": -13.630619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.582763, "energy": 95.608197, "activity_lines": [ 2890.693053, 2983.164897, 3079.893932, 3152.189531 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }