{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95a27aa8-0564-4cf6-8143-864860831008", "symbol": "SONM", "name": "Sonim Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.262, "architecture_energy": 51.668, "architecture_maturity": 13.919, "architecture_confidence": 88.563, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.57, "rotation_up": 10.69, "upward_expansion": 10.4, "deceleration": 38.9, "rotation_down": 65.92, "downward_expansion": 86.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.516693, 3.856444, 4.134716, 4.206513 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.78, "trend_reference": 4.441793, "distance_from_trend": -0.148992, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.171781, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.930222, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.638732, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.363636, "excess_performance": -0.55109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.148992, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128126, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.930222, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004045, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.496387, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066233, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.813822, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 138091, "relative_activity": 0.760842, "balance": 0.813822, "dry_up": 0.629258, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.33444, "annualized_volatility": 1.082521, "from_high_reference": -0.777306, "from_low_reference": 0.499346 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.441793, "fair_value_reference": 54.171781, "structural_low": 2.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.058604, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.073037, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.187182, "worst_return": -0.441447, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.145307, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.164194, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.851852, "worst_return": -0.5857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.363958, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.33361, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.373091, "worst_return": -0.807713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 4.702667, 4.7126, 4.458062, 4.498609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.05, "volume": 257387, "typical_volume": 184460.65, "trend": 4.4907, "fair_value": 57.728878, "relative_strength": -52.071505, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.448298, "energy": 6.143267, "activity_lines": [ 4.462, 4.585309, 4.427581, 4.46652 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.39, "volume": 195699, "typical_volume": 186777.2, "trend": 4.415033, "fair_value": 56.550609, "relative_strength": -56.906929, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.339824, "energy": 23.827709, "activity_lines": [ 4.048, 4.353291, 4.338624, 4.395508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.1508, "volume": 86795, "typical_volume": 184265.85, "trend": 4.41006, "fair_value": 55.393883, "relative_strength": -57.958771, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.654329, "energy": 40.931982, "activity_lines": [ 3.644267, 4.108691, 4.236648, 4.313944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.392, "volume": 36250, "typical_volume": 180789.55, "trend": 4.427127, "fair_value": 54.779858, "relative_strength": -53.703104, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.019948, "energy": 54.823965, "activity_lines": [ 3.43888, 3.937404, 4.164734, 4.248263 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.78, "volume": 138091, "typical_volume": 181497.5, "trend": 4.441793, "fair_value": 54.171781, "relative_strength": -49.638732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.262462, "energy": 51.667589, "activity_lines": [ 3.516693, 3.856444, 4.134716, 4.206513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }