{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "95ba9502-19f5-4885-b7f0-70a06b6c42ee",
    "symbol": "MIY",
    "name": "BlackRock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.064,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.298,
    "architecture_energy": 29.197,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.505,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.37,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.33,
        "rotation_up": 44.49,
        "upward_expansion": 73.8,
        "deceleration": 61.2,
        "rotation_down": 21.13,
        "downward_expansion": 2.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.220412,
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        12.069767
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 12.19,
    "trend_reference": 12.022689,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013916,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.660431,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143481,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.49539,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.029356,
    "excess_performance": -0.096269,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013916,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025028,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143481,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009313,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002652,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029356,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.517754,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 272461,
      "relative_activity": 0.92133,
      "balance": 1.517754,
      "dry_up": 1.040176,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02411,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12006,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037877,
      "from_low_reference": 0.163196
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 10.660431,
      "structural_low": 11.147673,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
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        "positive_rate": 0.521739,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.521739,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00827,
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.190008,
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 297163.05,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 287931.25,
        "trend": 11.905724,
        "fair_value": 10.58911,
        "relative_strength": -3.791434,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.565965,
        "energy": 44.567344,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.3,
        "volume": 223050,
        "typical_volume": 289409.8,
        "trend": 11.941691,
        "fair_value": 10.606659,
        "relative_strength": -2.039147,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.323288,
        "energy": 48.762435,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.23,
        "volume": 401314,
        "typical_volume": 292800.15,
        "trend": 11.974877,
        "fair_value": 10.62398,
        "relative_strength": -2.05395,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.166147,
        "energy": 44.536122,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.2,
        "volume": 333603,
        "typical_volume": 297522.85,
        "trend": 12.002195,
        "fair_value": 10.642155,
        "relative_strength": -3.274233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.125256,
        "energy": 37.97193,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.237252,
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          12.05765
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.19,
        "volume": 272461,
        "typical_volume": 295725.9,
        "trend": 12.022689,
        "fair_value": 10.660431,
        "relative_strength": -6.49539,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.298378,
        "energy": 29.197384,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}