{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95c3614f-79a8-46ef-bba3-7cf0107074d2", "symbol": "FXI", "name": "iShares China Large-Cap ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -9.566, "architecture_energy": 29.464, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 54.661, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.71, "rotation_up": 47.92, "upward_expansion": 24.39, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 16.97, "downward_expansion": 56.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 613.844662, 598.566656, 602.578474, 611.99795 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 620.0, "trend_reference": 628.456724, "distance_from_trend": -0.013456, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 581.832404, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.45215, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.082324, "excess_performance": -0.027658, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013456, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058189, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.065599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054444, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094522, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072905, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.082324, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.349881, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6855, "relative_activity": 1.383856, "balance": 1.349881, "dry_up": 1.90636, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028441, "annualized_volatility": 0.1699, "from_high_reference": -0.189964, "from_low_reference": 0.115108 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 628.456724, "fair_value_reference": 581.832404, "structural_low": 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-65.889756, "energy": 65.676921, "activity_lines": [ 578.372673, 583.644676, 601.071692, 615.056845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 603.0, "volume": 12034, "typical_volume": 4228.9, "trend": 633.415059, "fair_value": 580.035353, "relative_strength": -12.083296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.776858, "energy": 47.61083, "activity_lines": [ 588.054004, 585.763216, 600.051731, 612.91082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 630.599976, "volume": 15201, "typical_volume": 4875.95, "trend": 631.334391, "fair_value": 580.850393, "relative_strength": -8.361097, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.006559, "energy": 24.587882, "activity_lines": [ 605.069328, 593.324897, 601.768911, 612.729201 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 620.0, "volume": 6855, "typical_volume": 4953.55, "trend": 628.456724, "fair_value": 581.832404, "relative_strength": -9.45215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.566488, "energy": 29.46426, "activity_lines": [ 613.844662, 598.566656, 602.578474, 611.99795 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }