{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "95d323db-5dd7-4028-a15a-0544a118d568",
    "symbol": "KGL",
    "name": "KGL Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 88.525,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -70.341,
    "architecture_energy": 76.065,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.63,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.67,
        "rotation_up": 10.11,
        "upward_expansion": 17.4,
        "deceleration": 37.6,
        "rotation_down": 75.69,
        "downward_expansion": 93.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.187667,
        0.203856,
        0.237225,
        0.243371
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.18,
    "trend_reference": 0.248601,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.275948,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.143697,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252633,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.64437,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.142857,
    "excess_performance": -0.206563,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275948,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062397,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252633,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.105559,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.035114,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.142857,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.316133,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17792554,
      "relative_activity": 4.99044,
      "balance": 1.316133,
      "dry_up": 2.291947,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.198718,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.74448,
      "from_high_reference": -0.526316,
      "from_low_reference": 0.894737
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.248601,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.143697,
      "structural_low": 0.155,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.005319,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009834,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.454545,
        "worst_return": -0.277778,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03661,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.418605,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.264706,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.222209,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.090909,
        "worst_return": -0.359521,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.31308,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.381848,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.473684,
        "worst_return": -0.531501,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.190476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.172727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.236559,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.333333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.272727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.146341,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.347826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 0.142736,
        "relative_strength": 1.049908,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -4.320307,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2214574.6,
        "trend": 0.251434,
        "fair_value": 0.143152,
        "relative_strength": -5.14728,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.968727,
        "energy": 64.738115,
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          0.208403,
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          0.255552
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.21,
        "volume": 2851473,
        "typical_volume": 2329202.3,
        "trend": 0.251601,
        "fair_value": 0.143505,
        "relative_strength": 1.350887,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.641991,
        "energy": 65.4614,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.204202,
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          0.252207,
          0.252879
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.175,
        "volume": 9427855,
        "typical_volume": 2770795.4,
        "trend": 0.250767,
        "fair_value": 0.143569,
        "relative_strength": -17.880739,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.781542,
        "energy": 80.110411,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.193,
          0.213548,
          0.244383,
          0.247937
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.18,
        "volume": 17792554,
        "typical_volume": 3565327.65,
        "trend": 0.248601,
        "fair_value": 0.143697,
        "relative_strength": -18.64437,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.341264,
        "energy": 76.064627,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.187667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}