{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "95e2c397-dfd8-4a1a-966d-9464fc8291e3",
    "symbol": "AMC",
    "name": "Albemarle Corporation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.522,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.062,
    "architecture_energy": 84.579,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.284,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.369,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.75,
        "rotation_up": 11.34,
        "upward_expansion": 21.42,
        "deceleration": 37.26,
        "rotation_down": 75.9,
        "downward_expansion": 97.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        106.34,
        112.320676,
        127.45356,
        133.882656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 111.5,
    "trend_reference": 139.99535,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.203545,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 101.966308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.093498,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.624309,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.182781,
    "excess_performance": -0.247421,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203545,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018439,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093498,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.476904,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136243,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.771021,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.182781,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.511224,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14935,
      "relative_activity": 2.506861,
      "balance": 0.511224,
      "dry_up": 1.380956,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.111997,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.475044,
      "from_high_reference": -0.39874,
      "from_low_reference": 0.856984
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 139.99535,
      "fair_value_reference": 101.966308,
      "structural_low": 98.419998,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.018064,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037461,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.27182,
        "worst_return": -0.312254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.001857,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.080201,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.34956,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.363389,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.436896,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 48.687051,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "volume": 11271,
        "typical_volume": 11751.55,
        "trend": 124.660587,
        "fair_value": 106.885399,
        "relative_strength": 64.017044,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 11698.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 12192,
        "typical_volume": 11602.8,
        "trend": 130.696545,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 11794.95,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 11894.6,
        "trend": 135.255281,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 35.134644,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 10422.8,
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        "relative_strength": 22.90713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 8976.25,
        "trend": 140.974011,
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        "relative_strength": 31.067712,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 7365.15,
        "trend": 142.421618,
        "fair_value": 104.877225,
        "relative_strength": 1.664663,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.775122,
        "energy": 52.801992,
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          133.784733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 236,
        "typical_volume": 6603.7,
        "trend": 142.820919,
        "fair_value": 104.335087,
        "relative_strength": -0.761753,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.538074,
        "energy": 62.749913,
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          128.219146,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 110.5,
        "volume": 3138,
        "typical_volume": 6378.2,
        "trend": 142.814597,
        "fair_value": 103.7568,
        "relative_strength": -7.976485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -53.176442,
        "energy": 72.251399,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.926665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 104.199997,
        "volume": 4988,
        "typical_volume": 5928.4,
        "trend": 142.133672,
        "fair_value": 103.243383,
        "relative_strength": -12.924941,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.638718,
        "energy": 88.896415,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.343331,
          124.576925,
          137.707184,
          140.805842
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 103.900002,
        "volume": 7720,
        "typical_volume": 5557.15,
        "trend": 141.466607,
        "fair_value": 102.767734,
        "relative_strength": -14.530546,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.808432,
        "energy": 88.981763,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.606666,
          119.229324,
          133.940676,
          138.339154
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 101.75,
        "volume": 5266,
        "typical_volume": 5503.55,
        "trend": 140.859105,
        "fair_value": 102.291453,
        "relative_strength": -18.529865,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.396574,
        "energy": 89.368365,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.303333,
          114.474018,
          130.145653,
          135.776792
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.5,
        "volume": 14935,
        "typical_volume": 5957.65,
        "trend": 139.99535,
        "fair_value": 101.966308,
        "relative_strength": -13.624309,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.062398,
        "energy": 84.578575,
        "activity_lines": [
          106.34,
          112.320676,
          127.45356,
          133.882656
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}