{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95ebc048-b9aa-4f97-8638-fddd1046c3e4", "symbol": "ACCURACY", "name": "Accuracy Shipping Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.413, "architecture_energy": 41.152, "architecture_maturity": 6.686, "architecture_confidence": 73.673, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.88, "rotation_up": 14.35, "upward_expansion": 20.22, "deceleration": 55.25, "rotation_down": 66.11, "downward_expansion": 47.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.859333, 5.062, 5.205476, 5.098839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.72, "trend_reference": 5.013667, "distance_from_trend": -0.058573, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.436154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.440503, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.365252, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.081712, "excess_performance": -0.038003, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058573, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.440503, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023288, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153653, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003773, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.081712, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.98718, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 195508, "relative_activity": 0.331376, "balance": 0.98718, "dry_up": 0.435203, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091591, "annualized_volatility": 0.604567, "from_high_reference": -0.401015, "from_low_reference": 0.388235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.013667, "fair_value_reference": 8.436154, "structural_low": 3.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004163, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.027089, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.133057, "worst_return": -0.103416, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.245635, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.194387, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.571429, "worst_return": 0.018027, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.107982, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.111661, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.147429, "worst_return": -0.197211, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.006641, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024339, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.215203, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193488, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.014994, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123699, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.222524, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052539, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.127273, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 8.95, "volume": 2556189, "typical_volume": 2608607.5, "trend": 13.421167, "fair_value": 14.128508, "relative_strength": -49.741962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", 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215899, "typical_volume": 715631.55, "trend": 5.126667, "fair_value": 8.572564, "relative_strength": -7.463978, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.867744, "energy": 21.203303, "activity_lines": [ 5.4, 5.457091, 5.28019, 5.158151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.87, "volume": 239150, "typical_volume": 709298.7, "trend": 5.099333, "fair_value": 8.535833, "relative_strength": -14.011174, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.937899, "energy": 13.88447, "activity_lines": [ 5.214, 5.346182, 5.265333, 5.141591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.03, "volume": 288546, "typical_volume": 652398.95, "trend": 5.073333, "fair_value": 8.50141, "relative_strength": -8.359461, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.98467, "energy": 19.004586, "activity_lines": [ 5.117333, 5.270182, 5.265762, 5.137118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.8, "volume": 303855, "typical_volume": 612219.7, "trend": 5.04, "fair_value": 8.468397, "relative_strength": -14.020961, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.184715, "energy": 29.61187, "activity_lines": [ 4.975333, 5.165091, 5.241238, 5.119484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.72, "volume": 195508, "typical_volume": 589987.85, "trend": 5.013667, "fair_value": 8.436154, "relative_strength": -15.365252, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.413322, "energy": 41.151757, "activity_lines": [ 4.859333, 5.062, 5.205476, 5.098839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }