{ "ticker": { "uuid": "95f56a36-c4d6-4041-b049-626fedadf76c", "symbol": "600459", "name": "Sino-Platinum Metals Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.215, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.932, "architecture_energy": 42.942, "architecture_maturity": 8.77, "architecture_confidence": 38.701, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.55, "rotation_up": 6.24, "upward_expansion": 10.01, "deceleration": 57.31, "rotation_down": 71.47, "downward_expansion": 71.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.212666, 21.059284, 21.536351, 21.530397 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.01, "trend_reference": 21.655037, "distance_from_trend": -0.029787, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.859555, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324753, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.371788, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107856, "excess_performance": -0.064652, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029787, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076839, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.324753, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060064, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073718, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007307, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107856, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.824016, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164056245, "relative_activity": 1.390902, "balance": 1.824016, "dry_up": 1.090499, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150316, "annualized_volatility": 0.662542, "from_high_reference": -0.264871, "from_low_reference": 0.395086 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.655037, "fair_value_reference": 15.859555, "structural_low": 16.799999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.004135, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.003725, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.097425, "worst_return": -0.195385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.038768, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000665, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.265196, "worst_return": -0.187642, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.012768, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.02081, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.301232, "worst_return": -0.288538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }