{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "95fc248b-c815-4a32-8dae-8264d7187395",
    "symbol": "PHAR",
    "name": "Pharos Energy plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.487,
    "architecture_energy": 68.806,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.18,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.38,
        "rotation_up": 68.34,
        "upward_expansion": 82.1,
        "deceleration": 51.4,
        "rotation_down": 16.89,
        "downward_expansion": 20.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.295867,
        0.277769,
        0.272043,
        0.267279
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.335,
    "trend_reference": 0.256576,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.305657,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.21008,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.594631,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 33.586571,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.555925,
    "excess_performance": 0.50469,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.305657,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111101,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.594631,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.330253,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335866,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193405,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.555925,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.781138,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4660110,
      "relative_activity": 1.585377,
      "balance": 3.781138,
      "dry_up": 1.943501,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09113,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.479417,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023324,
      "from_low_reference": 0.904762
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.256576,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.21008,
      "structural_low": 0.197849,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.093665,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075309,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.02834,
        "worst_return": -0.200894,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.121924,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.116474,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.031846,
        "worst_return": -0.212002,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.039889,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098165,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.002613,
        "worst_return": -0.077165,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.079576,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.199467,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.079576,
        "worst_return": -0.079576,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.110948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.135022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.140002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.126852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038093,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.154347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.136755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.048205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.318898,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 0.207397,
        "relative_strength": 3.406243,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2580734.65,
        "trend": 0.244394,
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        "relative_strength": 5.527493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1980922,
        "typical_volume": 2616471.5,
        "trend": 0.246169,
        "fair_value": 0.208106,
        "relative_strength": 5.592462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.152985,
        "energy": 14.376101,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2508,
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          0.262025,
          0.257507
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.248,
        "volume": 1351271,
        "typical_volume": 2439453.65,
        "trend": 0.248196,
        "fair_value": 0.208382,
        "relative_strength": 1.761685,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.62422,
        "energy": 14.588071,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.250267,
          0.25473,
          0.260586,
          0.257625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.315,
        "volume": 14858866,
        "typical_volume": 2946722.05,
        "trend": 0.252166,
        "fair_value": 0.209191,
        "relative_strength": 26.935617,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.786565,
        "energy": 29.902642,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.272067,
          0.264773,
          0.265498,
          0.261935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.335,
        "volume": 4660110,
        "typical_volume": 2939433.3,
        "trend": 0.256576,
        "fair_value": 0.21008,
        "relative_strength": 33.586571,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.487355,
        "energy": 68.806229,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.295867,
          0.277769,
          0.272043,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}