{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9602d63b-c89b-4a3e-bae6-d4368e915dce", "symbol": "3206", "name": "Kingstate Electronics Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 58.615, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.311, "architecture_energy": 39.704, "architecture_maturity": 4.035, "architecture_confidence": 60.592, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.92, "rotation_up": 18.98, "upward_expansion": 15.63, "deceleration": 45.84, "rotation_down": 57.77, "downward_expansion": 54.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.751695, 34.424284, 35.249254, 35.357344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.900002, "trend_reference": 34.884662, "distance_from_trend": 0.00044, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.186203, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.06148, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.199318, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.14785, "excess_performance": -0.293522, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00044, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037103, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.06148, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054474, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.261993, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003217, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14785, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.37195, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 237038, "relative_activity": 0.238853, "balance": 1.37195, "dry_up": 0.275773, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080842, "annualized_volatility": 0.449739, "from_high_reference": -0.147503, "from_low_reference": 0.171841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.884662, "fair_value_reference": 37.186203, "structural_low": 30.213135, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 34.668618, 35.611172, 35.883464, 35.548533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.75, "volume": 298086, "typical_volume": 1241132.95, "trend": 34.646215, "fair_value": 37.149596, "relative_strength": -28.151909, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.566297, "energy": 31.353561, "activity_lines": [ 33.858956, 34.960217, 35.574991, 35.43021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.349998, "volume": 174023, "typical_volume": 1055504.35, "trend": 34.733221, "fair_value": 37.162021, "relative_strength": -27.793484, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.255002, "energy": 40.786643, "activity_lines": [ 33.424915, 34.488884, 35.329821, 35.346584 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 34.900002, "volume": 237038, "typical_volume": 992399.25, "trend": 34.884662, "fair_value": 37.186203, "relative_strength": -26.199318, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.311028, "energy": 39.703634, "activity_lines": [ 33.751695, 34.424284, 35.249254, 35.357344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }