{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "960b6190-7b4c-438f-a292-141055e6e759",
    "symbol": "HINDCON",
    "name": "Hindcon Chemicals Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 79.765,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.905,
    "architecture_energy": 21.626,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.492,
    "architecture_confidence": 52.421,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.73,
        "rotation_up": 46.83,
        "upward_expansion": 64.83,
        "deceleration": 55.32,
        "rotation_down": 19.39,
        "downward_expansion": 15.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.218667,
        21.774,
        21.902572,
        21.653054
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 22.5,
    "trend_reference": 21.559,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043648,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 37.125216,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.393943,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.483549,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.004016,
    "excess_performance": 0.047725,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043648,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099532,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.393943,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040339,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104835,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036625,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004016,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.790596,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47041,
      "relative_activity": 0.396119,
      "balance": 0.790596,
      "dry_up": 0.715845,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091179,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.536123,
      "from_high_reference": -0.403974,
      "from_low_reference": 0.436782
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.559,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.125216,
      "structural_low": 15.66,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": -0.010403,
        "positive_rate": 0.423077,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.423077,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017017,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.549075,
        "worst_return": -0.156342,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.078711,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066456,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.535498,
        "worst_return": -0.118752,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.130126,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080195,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.69708,
        "worst_return": -0.220105,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.18572,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.092807,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 2.531053,
        "worst_return": -0.425849,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-05-12",
        "end": "2023-05-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-05-26",
        "end": "2023-07-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-08-04",
        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.145752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-06",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.735441,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.06288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.075472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.325556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.032824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.140842,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.100525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.289544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.036403,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 170911.5,
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        "fair_value": 36.833109,
        "relative_strength": -22.014675,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 117464,
        "typical_volume": 167674.45,
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        "relative_strength": -13.349725,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 37.079526,
        "relative_strength": -16.635363,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 62330,
        "typical_volume": 124812.2,
        "trend": 22.215,
        "fair_value": 37.102193,
        "relative_strength": -17.582658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 23.864739,
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          21.174,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.0,
        "volume": 43963,
        "typical_volume": 121849.6,
        "trend": 22.003,
        "fair_value": 37.123135,
        "relative_strength": -17.689961,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.303957,
        "energy": 27.173875,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.133333,
          21.331273,
          21.630191,
          21.550925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.51,
        "volume": 46929,
        "typical_volume": 118652.55,
        "trend": 21.78,
        "fair_value": 37.141063,
        "relative_strength": -16.876992,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.385038,
        "energy": 29.440026,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.915333,
          21.121273,
          21.558667,
          21.454602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.030001,
        "volume": 202107,
        "typical_volume": 123151.8,
        "trend": 21.674,
        "fair_value": 37.149424,
        "relative_strength": -4.419707,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.634839,
        "energy": 10.576486,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.939333,
          21.602909,
          21.815572,
          21.599764
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.5,
        "volume": 47041,
        "typical_volume": 118754.8,
        "trend": 21.559,
        "fair_value": 37.125216,
        "relative_strength": -10.483549,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.905309,
        "energy": 21.625973,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.218667,
          21.774,
          21.902572,
          21.653054
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}