{ "ticker": { "uuid": "961649c6-7421-488f-9dfc-b9acd559e973", "symbol": "UFCS", "name": "United Fire Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.496, "architecture_energy": 57.132, "architecture_maturity": 85.585, "architecture_confidence": 66.205, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.66, "rotation_up": 48.6, "upward_expansion": 77.93, "deceleration": 73.55, "rotation_down": 27.14, "downward_expansion": 9.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.376, 51.856727, 49.265304, 46.602371 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 54.47, "trend_reference": 43.189832, "distance_from_trend": 0.261176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.052955, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.941685, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.963294, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.484506, "excess_performance": 0.297052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.261176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131471, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.941685, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069449, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.239633, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032254, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.484506, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.319159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 875816, "relative_activity": 1.313889, "balance": 1.319159, "dry_up": 1.240789, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062385, "annualized_volatility": 0.352174, "from_high_reference": -0.024183, "from_low_reference": 0.892997 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.189832, "fair_value_reference": 28.052955, "structural_low": 35.291, "invalidation": 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86.228416, "energy": 69.811135, "activity_lines": [ 49.05499, 47.612357, 44.378508, 42.316834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 53.93, "volume": 625097, "typical_volume": 613299.0, "trend": 40.505211, "fair_value": 27.043983, "relative_strength": 29.896249, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.988926, "energy": 86.451309, "activity_lines": [ 51.122, 49.033248, 45.512541, 43.224556 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 51.68, "volume": 730699, "typical_volume": 613356.55, "trend": 41.014373, "fair_value": 27.242005, "relative_strength": 21.338187, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.877794, "energy": 80.288697, "activity_lines": [ 51.786, 49.79129, 46.360957, 43.94551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 51.09, "volume": 926570, "typical_volume": 630848.45, "trend": 41.500238, "fair_value": 27.430173, "relative_strength": 24.127106, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.26121, "energy": 68.06488, "activity_lines": [ 51.823333, 50.224502, 47.088791, 44.59555 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.33, "volume": 848439, "typical_volume": 644692.6, "trend": 42.008297, "fair_value": 27.616663, "relative_strength": 25.579391, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.090859, "energy": 56.291159, "activity_lines": [ 51.764, 50.64531, 47.780431, 45.229729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.36, "volume": 657529, "typical_volume": 657614.6, "trend": 42.545745, "fair_value": 27.822102, "relative_strength": 23.839833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.054506, "energy": 48.161723, "activity_lines": [ 51.512, 51.00827, 48.409659, 45.833064 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.47, "volume": 875816, "typical_volume": 666582.7, "trend": 43.189832, "fair_value": 28.052955, "relative_strength": 23.963294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.496022, "energy": 57.132191, "activity_lines": [ 52.376, 51.856727, 49.265304, 46.602371 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }