{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "962608bb-0823-4261-9e52-89b73c406d7e",
    "symbol": "SFBC",
    "name": "Sound Financial Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.212,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.227,
    "architecture_energy": 63.51,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.778,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.379,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.8,
        "rotation_up": 70.95,
        "upward_expansion": 88.92,
        "deceleration": 43.2,
        "rotation_down": 10.83,
        "downward_expansion": 13.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.161529,
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        44.175801,
        43.725256
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 46.5,
    "trend_reference": 43.367539,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.072231,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.965495,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057648,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.831377,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.063534,
    "excess_performance": -0.12392,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072231,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007141,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057648,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085542,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078314,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144485,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063534,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.589647,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 249367,
      "relative_activity": 4.298608,
      "balance": 0.589647,
      "dry_up": 1.937944,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054139,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.219687,
      "from_high_reference": -0.050803,
      "from_low_reference": 0.14878
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.367539,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.965495,
      "structural_low": 40.477708,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.007638,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019819,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.240053,
        "worst_return": -0.090325,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030589,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.126309,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.183014,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.201865,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "direction": -15.880661,
        "energy": 13.69665,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 35087.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 32114.7,
        "trend": 43.299828,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 31983.45,
        "trend": 43.233843,
        "fair_value": 43.201787,
        "relative_strength": -20.890899,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 33.979486,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 32435.4,
        "trend": 43.136421,
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        "relative_strength": -21.892619,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.975539,
        "energy": 39.233999,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 32806.05,
        "trend": 43.060042,
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        "relative_strength": -23.310857,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.807444,
        "energy": 30.864207,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 32286.2,
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        "relative_strength": -17.846213,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.665796,
        "energy": 22.681112,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 32677.7,
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        "relative_strength": -16.546138,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "fair_value": 43.483317,
        "relative_strength": -17.816808,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 10.927294,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.439915,
        "energy": 13.494608,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.29,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 29799,
        "typical_volume": 44441.75,
        "trend": 42.951391,
        "fair_value": 43.613675,
        "relative_strength": -12.44055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.648967,
        "energy": 29.577041,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 43.941554,
        "volume": 27277,
        "typical_volume": 45054.05,
        "trend": 42.94385,
        "fair_value": 43.678066,
        "relative_strength": -14.537146,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.851505,
        "energy": 37.328709,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.669236,
        "volume": 113710,
        "typical_volume": 48972.75,
        "trend": 43.073116,
        "fair_value": 43.758057,
        "relative_strength": -4.995603,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.836224,
        "energy": 66.088003,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.869994,
          44.047631,
          43.318645,
          43.150218
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.857418,
        "volume": 34285,
        "typical_volume": 49527.7,
        "trend": 43.128783,
        "fair_value": 43.820722,
        "relative_strength": -6.759394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.929133,
        "energy": 59.107012,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.005136,
          44.315526,
          43.50388,
          43.265334
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.017662,
        "volume": 52327,
        "typical_volume": 50762.25,
        "trend": 43.26009,
        "fair_value": 43.89541,
        "relative_strength": -2.454277,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.070874,
        "energy": 67.152112,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.791865,
          44.92733,
          43.879162,
          43.51623
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.5,
        "volume": 249367,
        "typical_volume": 58011.1,
        "trend": 43.367539,
        "fair_value": 43.965495,
        "relative_strength": -7.831377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.226998,
        "energy": 63.509602,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.161529,
          45.348693,
          44.175801,
          43.725256
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}