{ "ticker": { "uuid": "962acbdd-16bc-468d-9bae-90709ae5f8c1", "symbol": "300427", "name": "Red phase INC.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.24, "architecture_energy": 61.9, "architecture_maturity": 92.115, "architecture_confidence": 88.815, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 29.4, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.96, "rotation_down": 49.59, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.53, 6.550364, 7.682857, 8.965376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.94, "trend_reference": 10.737333, "distance_from_trend": -0.353657, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.031923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.013072, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.761152, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.5, "excess_performance": -0.5074, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.353657, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098864, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.013072, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.60609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.297612, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304884, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.5, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.244724, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202537761, "relative_activity": 1.524568, "balance": 1.244724, "dry_up": 1.773669, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145311, "annualized_volatility": 0.533712, "from_high_reference": -0.648251, "from_low_reference": 0.388 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.737333, "fair_value_reference": 7.031923, "structural_low": 5.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.007622, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.21129, "worst_return": -0.368142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.075529, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.030946, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.216573, "worst_return": -0.360522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.094162, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.151109, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.034722, "worst_return": -0.460033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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8.167286, 9.512043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.62, "volume": 421060077, "typical_volume": 131229875.55, "trend": 10.914333, "fair_value": 7.038654, "relative_strength": -29.57324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.896265, "energy": 65.278904, "activity_lines": [ 6.334, 6.543636, 7.892714, 9.221785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.94, "volume": 202537761, "typical_volume": 132849268.75, "trend": 10.737333, "fair_value": 7.031923, "relative_strength": -29.761152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.239598, "energy": 61.899888, "activity_lines": [ 6.53, 6.550364, 7.682857, 8.965376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }