{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9647edfd-1498-4284-81ed-6e73df6e6f78",
    "symbol": "ANVS",
    "name": "Annovis Bio\u00a0Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.091,
    "architecture_energy": 32.104,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.444,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.307,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.85,
        "rotation_up": 22.83,
        "upward_expansion": 3.18,
        "deceleration": 55.07,
        "rotation_down": 44.57,
        "downward_expansion": 74.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.781333,
        1.789091,
        1.853571,
        1.956796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.88,
    "trend_reference": 2.139667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.121358,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.579359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.663044,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.966272,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.24498,
    "excess_performance": -0.370605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121358,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.223915,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.663044,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010371,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.319663,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097549,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.24498,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.445038,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3244054,
      "relative_activity": 0.64912,
      "balance": 0.445038,
      "dry_up": 0.643619,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.16025,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.84777,
      "from_high_reference": -0.658182,
      "from_low_reference": 0.220225
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.139667,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.579359,
      "structural_low": 1.5407,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.079096,
        "positive_rate": 0.275862,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.724138,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096285,
        "regime_survival": 0.862069,
        "best_return": 0.799028,
        "worst_return": -0.408163,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.050341,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055876,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.643275,
        "worst_return": -0.677966,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.124251,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.199308,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.035836,
        "worst_return": -0.594323,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.579785,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.418337,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.151946,
        "worst_return": -0.766108,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.298358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 37.227999,
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          1.808,
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          1.913619,
          2.053527
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.66,
        "volume": 2967022,
        "typical_volume": 4938817.25,
        "trend": 2.262667,
        "fair_value": 5.728205,
        "relative_strength": -38.251318,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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          1.761333,
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          1.879905,
          2.010473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.75,
        "volume": 2529186,
        "typical_volume": 4988571.7,
        "trend": 2.199333,
        "fair_value": 5.654551,
        "relative_strength": -35.011883,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.38803,
        "energy": 35.85745,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.750667,
          1.774545,
          1.858714,
          1.977398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.88,
        "volume": 3244054,
        "typical_volume": 4997618.3,
        "trend": 2.139667,
        "fair_value": 5.579359,
        "relative_strength": -31.966272,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.09086,
        "energy": 32.104058,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.781333,
          1.789091,
          1.853571,
          1.956796
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}