{ "ticker": { "uuid": "964cf89c-e2cd-4f37-acf4-1d8290cb9902", "symbol": "HTO", "name": "H2O America", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.952, "architecture_energy": 52.38, "architecture_maturity": 19.022, "architecture_confidence": 73.908, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.68, "rotation_up": 65.05, "upward_expansion": 81.25, "deceleration": 54.01, "rotation_down": 14.06, "downward_expansion": 7.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.831333, 62.047273, 60.314669, 59.284511 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 62.66, "trend_reference": 57.603617, "distance_from_trend": 0.087779, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.337908, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.174774, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.841146, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.216003, "excess_performance": 0.028549, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087779, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085006, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.174774, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105559, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028411, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08961, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.216003, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.794967, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2043167, "relative_activity": 0.812946, "balance": 0.794967, "dry_up": 1.022907, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049934, "annualized_volatility": 0.258591, "from_high_reference": -0.066031, "from_low_reference": 0.45559 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.603617, "fair_value_reference": 53.337908, "structural_low": 50.512727, 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"activity_lines": [ 62.557333, 60.579455, 59.221565, 58.149451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.84, "volume": 2204259, "typical_volume": 2594514.25, "trend": 56.778003, "fair_value": 53.359439, "relative_strength": 10.825447, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.415955, "energy": 80.207936, "activity_lines": [ 63.390667, 61.416, 59.726892, 58.639028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.33, "volume": 2521304, "typical_volume": 2577149.3, "trend": 57.207017, "fair_value": 53.344234, "relative_strength": 5.827763, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.545318, "energy": 66.984507, "activity_lines": [ 62.910667, 61.639818, 59.964229, 58.932706 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.66, "volume": 2043167, "typical_volume": 2513288.85, "trend": 57.603617, "fair_value": 53.337908, "relative_strength": 2.841146, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.951863, "energy": 52.379599, "activity_lines": [ 62.831333, 62.047273, 60.314669, 59.284511 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }