{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9660e5d6-c996-489b-8e57-f36ce71d009b", "symbol": "OMINFRAL", "name": "Om Infra Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.225, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.044, "architecture_energy": 6.841, "architecture_maturity": 38.3, "architecture_confidence": 66.756, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.53, "rotation_up": 34.24, "upward_expansion": 50.28, "deceleration": 72.95, "rotation_down": 26.3, "downward_expansion": 28.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 88.153997, 88.269453, 88.505, 88.154882 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 87.349998, "trend_reference": 87.032, "distance_from_trend": 0.003654, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 121.893346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.28339, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.836931, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.021179, "excess_performance": 0.02253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003654, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054832, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.28339, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10796, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088369, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039619, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021179, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.605064, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 462019, "relative_activity": 0.821505, "balance": 0.605064, "dry_up": 2.407605, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0782, "annualized_volatility": 0.360237, "from_high_reference": -0.393403, "from_low_reference": 0.221678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.032, "fair_value_reference": 121.893346, "structural_low": 75.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.002958, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.021247, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.527953, "worst_return": -0.193041, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.028075, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.020099, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.752329, "worst_return": -0.337509, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00017, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034163, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.617647, "worst_return": -0.249105, 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"direction": 39.923349, "energy": 22.254271, "activity_lines": [ 89.413334, 88.251455, 88.658667, 88.036968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 87.669998, "volume": 2627888, "typical_volume": 533774.25, "trend": 87.579333, "fair_value": 121.253372, "relative_strength": -9.190691, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.312411, "energy": 17.493438, "activity_lines": [ 89.306667, 88.084546, 88.627, 88.020387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 87.099998, "volume": 461111, "typical_volume": 539464.1, "trend": 87.209667, "fair_value": 121.489955, "relative_strength": -7.060483, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.075986, "energy": 14.775388, "activity_lines": [ 88.657999, 87.997636, 88.530143, 87.989463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 89.339996, "volume": 1865182, "typical_volume": 593324.5, "trend": 86.916333, "fair_value": 121.694075, "relative_strength": -6.559865, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.880701, "energy": 14.857584, "activity_lines": [ 88.813998, 88.335635, 88.61419, 88.126903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.349998, "volume": 462019, "typical_volume": 562405.4, "trend": 87.032, "fair_value": 121.893346, "relative_strength": -8.836931, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.043531, "energy": 6.841356, "activity_lines": [ 88.153997, 88.269453, 88.505, 88.154882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }