{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9665158b-631e-4772-bbe3-3c633444700e", "symbol": "1D0", "name": "Kimly Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 63.425, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.069, "architecture_energy": 32.617, "architecture_maturity": 17.512, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.89, "rotation_up": 15.05, "upward_expansion": 4.97, "deceleration": 44.13, "rotation_down": 46.84, "downward_expansion": 73.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.392, 0.392998, 0.393941, 0.394671 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.39, "trend_reference": 0.397515, "distance_from_trend": -0.018906, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.321477, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213149, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.896046, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04878, "excess_performance": -0.203616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018906, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012748, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.213149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082227, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153529, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04878, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.066077, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1241900, "relative_activity": 0.675419, "balance": 0.066077, "dry_up": 0.869985, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021453, "annualized_volatility": 0.118029, "from_high_reference": -0.092532, "from_low_reference": 0.140818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.397515, "fair_value_reference": 0.321477, "structural_low": 0.38, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.005702, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.004807, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.123289, "worst_return": -0.044776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001752, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.019504, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.135781, "worst_return": -0.028344, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.034971, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.001722, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.247481, "worst_return": -0.065173, 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"stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.321048, "energy": 16.646842, "activity_lines": [ 0.394333, 0.394984, 0.394463, 0.395706 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.395, "volume": 1046200, "typical_volume": 1870740.0, "trend": 0.397073, "fair_value": 0.32011, "relative_strength": -12.80252, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.33272, "energy": 11.514309, "activity_lines": [ 0.394667, 0.394809, 0.394606, 0.395603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.39, "volume": 2077400, "typical_volume": 1849195.0, "trend": 0.397376, "fair_value": 0.320766, "relative_strength": -14.159865, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.419072, "energy": 21.532006, "activity_lines": [ 0.393333, 0.393814, 0.394273, 0.395147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.39, "volume": 1241900, "typical_volume": 1838710.0, "trend": 0.397515, "fair_value": 0.321477, "relative_strength": -14.896046, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.06931, "energy": 32.617071, "activity_lines": [ 0.392, 0.392998, 0.393941, 0.394671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }