{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9669bcf2-7563-457f-bffe-e5267553a7e5", "symbol": "RUSTA", "name": "Rusta AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 61.529, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -10.29, "architecture_energy": 11.108, "architecture_maturity": 29.027, "architecture_confidence": 50.774, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.29, "rotation_up": 33.57, "upward_expansion": 20.59, "deceleration": 52.06, "rotation_down": 22.12, "downward_expansion": 31.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.226668, 83.809092, 87.172144, 88.2457 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.300003, "trend_reference": 88.091668, "distance_from_trend": -0.043042, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 74.099633, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.137657, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.484414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.005367, "excess_performance": -0.056128, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.043042, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02653, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.137657, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209576, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064844, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216076, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005367, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.638119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 576697, "relative_activity": 0.792681, "balance": 0.638119, "dry_up": 0.812156, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070262, "annualized_volatility": 0.380252, "from_high_reference": -0.195611, "from_low_reference": 0.432455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 88.091668, "fair_value_reference": 74.099633, "structural_low": 74.550003, 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89.21226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 85.699997, "volume": 1036778, "typical_volume": 900511.9, "trend": 88.028334, "fair_value": 73.800322, "relative_strength": -1.708103, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.193219, "energy": 55.27613, "activity_lines": [ 82.086667, 84.432728, 89.394525, 89.067958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 81.75, "volume": 533019, "typical_volume": 895693.1, "trend": 87.930001, "fair_value": 73.855528, "relative_strength": -5.06632, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.80796, "energy": 34.301564, "activity_lines": [ 82.556667, 83.306365, 88.560239, 88.662904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.900002, "volume": 527231, "typical_volume": 877193.55, "trend": 87.925001, "fair_value": 73.931697, "relative_strength": -2.840843, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.995826, "energy": 18.005066, "activity_lines": [ 83.763334, 83.052728, 88.029763, 88.467421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.25, "volume": 726518, "typical_volume": 769152.2, "trend": 88.061668, "fair_value": 74.029768, "relative_strength": -0.321267, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.469255, "energy": 12.483263, "activity_lines": [ 85.46, 83.691819, 87.784763, 88.488388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.300003, "volume": 576697, "typical_volume": 727527.6, "trend": 88.091668, "fair_value": 74.099633, "relative_strength": -6.484414, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.289938, "energy": 11.107523, "activity_lines": [ 85.226668, 83.809092, 87.172144, 88.2457 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }