{ "ticker": { "uuid": "966a1a7d-9ee7-4af1-b3cc-d2a2cf4629de", "symbol": "XDEE", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 2C EUR Hedged", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.717, "architecture_energy": 70.915, "architecture_maturity": 42.956, "architecture_confidence": 84.104, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 67.3, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 57.19, "rotation_down": 23.29, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.251733, 12.177855, 11.975752, 11.795394 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.46, "trend_reference": 11.6078, "distance_from_trend": 0.073416, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.181854, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223746, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.216906, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08726, "excess_performance": 0.02262, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073416, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036201, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.223746, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055997, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022169, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02951, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08726, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.41076, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 499261, "relative_activity": 0.876028, "balance": 2.41076, "dry_up": 0.952901, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016582, "annualized_volatility": 0.10158, "from_high_reference": -0.005745, "from_low_reference": 0.200848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.6078, "fair_value_reference": 10.181854, "structural_low": 10.702, "invalidation": "A 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11.412533, "fair_value": 10.075617, "relative_strength": 3.048259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.831734, "energy": 90.485068, "activity_lines": [ 12.051733, 11.920909, 11.67739, 11.563226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.144, "volume": 582710, "typical_volume": 685004.05, "trend": 11.4506, "fair_value": 10.096719, "relative_strength": 5.344385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.200768, "energy": 85.661763, "activity_lines": [ 12.0996, 11.983309, 11.73739, 11.610417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.146, "volume": 520404, "typical_volume": 656968.9, "trend": 11.489467, "fair_value": 10.116988, "relative_strength": 6.121482, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.725003, "energy": 86.096505, "activity_lines": [ 12.129067, 12.034036, 11.79479, 11.655282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.144, "volume": 360147, "typical_volume": 609974.3, "trend": 11.527667, "fair_value": 10.137245, "relative_strength": 4.786933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.803215, "energy": 80.214418, "activity_lines": [ 12.146933, 12.073782, 11.849486, 11.69751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.152, "volume": 792476, "typical_volume": 590266.65, "trend": 11.567133, "fair_value": 10.158251, "relative_strength": 2.547079, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.0055, "energy": 62.157954, "activity_lines": [ 12.150267, 12.102145, 11.900619, 11.737789 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.46, "volume": 499261, "typical_volume": 569914.55, "trend": 11.6078, "fair_value": 10.181854, "relative_strength": 2.216906, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.717203, "energy": 70.914591, "activity_lines": [ 12.251733, 12.177855, 11.975752, 11.795394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }