{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96a3fdaa-e566-4ab9-baba-c22b6fe8ba8e", "symbol": "ESGV", "name": "VANGUARD ESG U.S. STOCK ETF ETF SHARES", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.516, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.219, "architecture_energy": 53.773, "architecture_maturity": 49.883, "architecture_confidence": 79.461, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.63, "rotation_up": 54.26, "upward_expansion": 80.92, "deceleration": 61.68, "rotation_down": 26.14, "downward_expansion": 7.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 133.388, 132.508814, 130.975993, 127.958261 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 137.11, "trend_reference": 124.648996, "distance_from_trend": 0.099969, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.929952, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332071, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.476682, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.141815, "excess_performance": 0.01619, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099969, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332071, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008839, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004767, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004783, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141815, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.662848, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1427673, "relative_activity": 1.370754, "balance": 1.662848, "dry_up": 0.843703, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028472, "annualized_volatility": 0.166916, "from_high_reference": -0.003561, "from_low_reference": 0.270098 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 124.648996, "fair_value_reference": 102.929952, "structural_low": 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"fair_value": 102.181161, "relative_strength": -0.236618, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.731012, "energy": 44.373504, "activity_lines": [ 131.398, 131.384996, 129.379758, 126.591265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 132.02, "volume": 639042, "typical_volume": 1012550.05, "trend": 124.1633, "fair_value": 102.537289, "relative_strength": 0.141041, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.921646, "energy": 42.869093, "activity_lines": [ 131.642, 131.491693, 129.978471, 127.12299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 137.11, "volume": 1427673, "typical_volume": 1041524.2, "trend": 124.648996, "fair_value": 102.929952, "relative_strength": 0.476682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.219049, "energy": 53.77259, "activity_lines": [ 133.388, 132.508814, 130.975993, 127.958261 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }