{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96a5faaa-5d7a-49e8-8582-a9ee9ab5b26b", "symbol": "ITDF", "name": "ISHARES TRUST LIFEPATH TARGET DATE 2050 ETF USD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.843, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.103, "architecture_energy": 50.433, "architecture_maturity": 57.388, "architecture_confidence": 71.423, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.57, "rotation_up": 51.97, "upward_expansion": 80.17, "deceleration": 64.47, "rotation_down": 26.8, "downward_expansion": 6.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.559533, 41.395616, 41.025201, 40.339237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42.5, "trend_reference": 39.568043, "distance_from_trend": 0.074099, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.635404, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302267, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.678625, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.100358, "excess_performance": -0.025267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074099, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037663, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.302267, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019096, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006786, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00993, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.100358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.203171, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73840, "relative_activity": 1.148731, "balance": 1.203171, "dry_up": 0.672146, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022916, "annualized_volatility": 0.142408, "from_high_reference": -0.000703, "from_low_reference": 0.238195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.568043, "fair_value_reference": 32.635404, "structural_low": 35.54, 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62356.55, "trend": 39.420603, "fair_value": 32.567839, "relative_strength": -0.248099, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.357624, "energy": 34.697822, "activity_lines": [ 41.121027, 41.151431, 40.787305, 40.140566 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.5, "volume": 73840, "typical_volume": 64279.6, "trend": 39.568043, "fair_value": 32.635404, "relative_strength": -0.678625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.102659, "energy": 50.433094, "activity_lines": [ 41.559533, 41.395616, 41.025201, 40.339237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }