{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "96aee194-d856-4ddb-991c-c316b3abca51",
    "symbol": "TUNE",
    "name": "Focusrite plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 44.191,
    "architecture_energy": 73.487,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.493,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.656,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.82,
        "rotation_up": 77.67,
        "upward_expansion": 69.62,
        "deceleration": 18.06,
        "rotation_down": 16.58,
        "downward_expansion": 25.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        239.6,
        227.965893,
        212.283053,
        207.736039
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 242.0,
    "trend_reference": 209.312723,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.156165,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 287.470065,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158173,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.715654,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.032,
    "excess_performance": -0.083235,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156165,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017761,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.158173,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215377,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077157,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140689,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 11.17919,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 505124,
      "relative_activity": 0.67821,
      "balance": 11.17919,
      "dry_up": 2.21694,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073274,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.56694,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05098,
      "from_low_reference": 0.613505
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 209.312723,
      "fair_value_reference": 287.470065,
      "structural_low": 155.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.048141,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087964,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.048141,
        "worst_return": -0.048141,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.246947,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.237914,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.246947,
        "worst_return": -0.246947,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.445733,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.444247,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.445733,
        "worst_return": -0.445733,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.301141,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.331182,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.301141,
        "worst_return": -0.301141,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.137255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.054826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.124846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.145898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.069767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.142979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.228261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043771,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.1581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021097,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 340953.7,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3467592,
        "typical_volume": 690477.2,
        "trend": 209.546057,
        "fair_value": 293.541048,
        "relative_strength": 9.927376,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.271462,
        "energy": 61.703825,
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          222.2257,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 240.0,
        "volume": 1626812,
        "typical_volume": 727312.5,
        "trend": 209.662723,
        "fair_value": 291.427691,
        "relative_strength": 9.356483,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.786284,
        "energy": 71.539235,
        "activity_lines": [
          230.718287,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 240.0,
        "volume": 1005094,
        "typical_volume": 750437.35,
        "trend": 209.57939,
        "fair_value": 289.442468,
        "relative_strength": 7.502042,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.976699,
        "energy": 74.896335,
        "activity_lines": [
          236.450953,
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          205.644387
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 242.0,
        "volume": 505124,
        "typical_volume": 744790.5,
        "trend": 209.312723,
        "fair_value": 287.470065,
        "relative_strength": 7.715654,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.191184,
        "energy": 73.487474,
        "activity_lines": [
          239.6,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}