{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "96af71f2-40cd-4544-b560-9b8f3f1fed58",
    "symbol": "MAS",
    "name": "Masco Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.032,
    "architecture_energy": 26.588,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.929,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.598,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.59,
        "rotation_up": 33.54,
        "upward_expansion": 62.65,
        "deceleration": 87.7,
        "rotation_down": 28.11,
        "downward_expansion": 17.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        76.428,
        77.172909,
        74.516367,
        72.293464
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 77.51,
    "trend_reference": 70.372619,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101423,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 67.816364,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.142939,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.298933,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.073286,
    "excess_performance": -0.052338,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101423,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06637,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142939,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062005,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002989,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046252,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073286,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.472783,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12585129,
      "relative_activity": 0.951304,
      "balance": 1.472783,
      "dry_up": 1.090339,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076561,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.415609,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073263,
      "from_low_reference": 0.341746
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 70.372619,
      "fair_value_reference": 67.816364,
      "structural_low": 57.889283,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.018234,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048116,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.033875,
        "worst_return": -0.10499,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.02291,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013822,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.113482,
        "worst_return": -0.154049,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.06621,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009639,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.311218,
        "worst_return": -0.133636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.085034,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.35523,
        "worst_return": -0.210789,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04414,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.069823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.131332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 67.444476,
        "relative_strength": 5.45851,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 71.242524,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12755026.0,
        "trend": 69.826015,
        "fair_value": 67.580302,
        "relative_strength": 6.881653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 61.410501,
        "energy": 64.503874,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 71.48,
        "volume": 25727672,
        "typical_volume": 13466819.75,
        "trend": 70.078927,
        "fair_value": 67.677559,
        "relative_strength": -4.406712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.143239,
        "energy": 28.783221,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.592,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 77.51,
        "volume": 12585129,
        "typical_volume": 13229339.85,
        "trend": 70.372619,
        "fair_value": 67.816364,
        "relative_strength": 0.298933,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.032181,
        "energy": 26.58759,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}