{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "96b0073d-7872-433b-8868-0239a352bd3f",
    "symbol": "RCO",
    "name": "R\u00e9my Cointreau SA",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.313,
    "architecture_energy": 76.424,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.965,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.161,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.55,
        "rotation_up": 73.09,
        "upward_expansion": 90.58,
        "deceleration": 45.56,
        "rotation_down": 10.67,
        "downward_expansion": 17.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.221079,
        45.066593,
        43.458048,
        42.414317
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.740002,
    "trend_reference": 41.562892,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.124561,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.802856,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.267431,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.535671,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.078947,
    "excess_performance": -0.095299,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124561,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045853,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.267431,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156972,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115357,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10633,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078947,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 8.563205,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 886,
      "relative_activity": 1.454725,
      "balance": 8.563205,
      "dry_up": 0.363681,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050931,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.329493,
      "from_high_reference": -0.176388,
      "from_low_reference": 0.357143
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.562892,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.802856,
      "structural_low": 34.439999,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.136271,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062274,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.191851,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "typical_volume": 895.5,
        "trend": 40.747334,
        "fair_value": 73.050929,
        "relative_strength": -22.784929,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.488878,
        "energy": 16.351654,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.880001,
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          39.60562,
          39.771613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 39.580002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 846.1,
        "trend": 40.502,
        "fair_value": 72.257276,
        "relative_strength": -24.615493,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.757169,
        "energy": 21.570488,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.098668,
          38.979274,
          39.620382,
          39.696302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 41.139999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 846.1,
        "trend": 40.368,
        "fair_value": 71.473623,
        "relative_strength": -22.168665,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.750905,
        "energy": 21.859656,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.577334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 40.560001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 846.1,
        "trend": 40.135334,
        "fair_value": 70.840661,
        "relative_strength": -22.363326,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.824217,
        "energy": 15.082701,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.588001,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 40.880001,
        "volume": 488,
        "typical_volume": 870.5,
        "trend": 39.835334,
        "fair_value": 70.207379,
        "relative_strength": -22.817074,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.428504,
        "energy": 18.474039,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.658667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 39.799999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 715.65,
        "trend": 39.740667,
        "fair_value": 69.616075,
        "relative_strength": -26.226377,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.970329,
        "energy": 25.338856,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.404,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 41.639999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 631.6,
        "trend": 39.707334,
        "fair_value": 69.041011,
        "relative_strength": -21.427542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.829082,
        "energy": 30.315398,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.82,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.299999,
        "volume": 831,
        "typical_volume": 631.6,
        "trend": 39.762667,
        "fair_value": 68.46818,
        "relative_strength": -17.933862,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.696286,
        "energy": 63.001618,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 44.360001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 610.4,
        "trend": 39.885334,
        "fair_value": 67.905514,
        "relative_strength": -20.608447,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.463311,
        "energy": 72.479713,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.96,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 43.207317,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 610.4,
        "trend": 40.034244,
        "fair_value": 67.333681,
        "relative_strength": -20.689403,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.312763,
        "energy": 71.636154,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.297106,
          42.288603,
          41.040221,
          40.725376
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 42.30225,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 442.05,
        "trend": 40.208986,
        "fair_value": 66.74834,
        "relative_strength": -23.483716,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.267595,
        "energy": 68.129955,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.177368,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 43.049915,
        "volume": 6268,
        "typical_volume": 715.7,
        "trend": 40.40865,
        "fair_value": 66.183204,
        "relative_strength": -20.19299,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.103299,
        "energy": 53.92244,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.140035,
          42.645417,
          41.436918,
          41.054984
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 45.135517,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 715.7,
        "trend": 40.6945,
        "fair_value": 65.642402,
        "relative_strength": -13.798358,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.423323,
        "energy": 49.156613,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.703909,
          43.192975,
          41.888303,
          41.359943
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.151745,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 606.3,
        "trend": 40.956892,
        "fair_value": 65.006087,
        "relative_strength": -15.640984,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.770413,
        "energy": 44.197014,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.884157,
          43.489019,
          42.227445,
          41.582992
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 592.45,
        "trend": 41.357558,
        "fair_value": 64.395314,
        "relative_strength": -6.502927,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.867671,
        "energy": 74.868319,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.514374,
          44.503079,
          42.951889,
          42.067063
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.740002,
        "volume": 886,
        "typical_volume": 609.05,
        "trend": 41.562892,
        "fair_value": 63.802856,
        "relative_strength": -11.535671,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.313407,
        "energy": 76.423769,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.221079,
          45.066593,
          43.458048,
          42.414317
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}