{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96c0b2b3-4b64-4d88-adf5-8cc9d0f8f8aa", "symbol": "000576", "name": "Guangdong Ganhua Science & Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.856, "architecture_energy": 55.807, "architecture_maturity": 69.385, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 24.14, "upward_expansion": 9.24, "deceleration": 56.55, "rotation_down": 53.71, "downward_expansion": 80.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.808, 6.943636, 7.428095, 8.031699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.18, "trend_reference": 8.903667, "distance_from_trend": -0.193591, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.501731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155466, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.917095, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.325822, "excess_performance": -0.333221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.193591, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112001, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155466, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184499, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.289171, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003956, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325822, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.281727, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42156703, "relative_activity": 0.934943, "balance": 0.281727, "dry_up": 1.331223, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1006, "annualized_volatility": 0.498341, "from_high_reference": -0.45149, "from_low_reference": 0.216949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.903667, "fair_value_reference": 8.501731, "structural_low": 5.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.01072, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": 0.009443, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.382042, "worst_return": -0.369589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.084812, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.011365, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.531022, "worst_return": -0.285573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.057884, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.041575, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.16295, "worst_return": -0.356512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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7.197091, 7.854667, 8.490022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.39, "volume": 63724631, "typical_volume": 48072466.0, "trend": 9.141, "fair_value": 8.54609, "relative_strength": -36.052052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.650313, "energy": 63.302064, "activity_lines": [ 6.802667, 7.008545, 7.655667, 8.304366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.75, "volume": 62013099, "typical_volume": 48175162.1, "trend": 9.015333, "fair_value": 8.521795, "relative_strength": -30.602771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.518218, "energy": 61.027262, "activity_lines": [ 6.739333, 6.923818, 7.513429, 8.150108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.18, "volume": 42156703, "typical_volume": 45090123.5, "trend": 8.903667, "fair_value": 8.501731, "relative_strength": -28.917095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.85585, "energy": 55.807046, "activity_lines": [ 6.808, 6.943636, 7.428095, 8.031699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }