{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "96c2f04b-2521-4943-a235-1ab60f61a0ae",
    "symbol": "BBD-A",
    "name": "Bombardier Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.549,
    "architecture_energy": 66.961,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.124,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.795,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.21,
        "rotation_up": 64.89,
        "upward_expansion": 86.96,
        "deceleration": 51.95,
        "rotation_down": 17.76,
        "downward_expansion": 13.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        347.996667,
        339.49,
        320.049621,
        303.697141
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 346.730011,
    "trend_reference": 285.597667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.214051,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 137.644487,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.519026,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 24.850072,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.403254,
    "excess_performance": 0.282833,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214051,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137851,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.519026,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000622,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248501,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062283,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.403254,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.6,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20800,
      "relative_activity": 0.78328,
      "balance": 2.6,
      "dry_up": 1.028996,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066343,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.501471,
      "from_high_reference": -0.082579,
      "from_low_reference": 1.296073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 285.597667,
      "fair_value_reference": 137.644487,
      "structural_low": 227.720001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.049535,
        "positive_rate": 0.69697,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.69697,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038576,
        "regime_survival": 0.848485,
        "best_return": 0.392913,
        "worst_return": -0.198456,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.164499,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.083138,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.514123,
        "worst_return": -0.191781,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.282111,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.255629,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.72804,
        "worst_return": -0.199641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.2878,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.240692,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.184928,
        "worst_return": -0.44142,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 51840.0,
        "trend": 237.999667,
        "fair_value": 114.345192,
        "relative_strength": 32.491042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 49.182029,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 50160.0,
        "trend": 243.785334,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 49685.0,
        "trend": 247.116334,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "trend": 250.997334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 42365.0,
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        "fair_value": 121.89,
        "relative_strength": 28.197085,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 39310.0,
        "trend": 257.646334,
        "fair_value": 123.448077,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 35525.0,
        "trend": 263.898334,
        "fair_value": 126.731346,
        "relative_strength": 29.784385,
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        "direction": 76.759086,
        "energy": 75.828034,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 32640.0,
        "trend": 267.199668,
        "fair_value": 128.433526,
        "relative_strength": 27.656569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 31300,
        "typical_volume": 31465.0,
        "trend": 270.928334,
        "fair_value": 130.214616,
        "relative_strength": 29.602883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.44438,
        "energy": 79.574904,
        "activity_lines": [
          326.551333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 337.609985,
        "volume": 16700,
        "typical_volume": 30120.0,
        "trend": 274.582,
        "fair_value": 132.000962,
        "relative_strength": 29.267762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.490845,
        "energy": 78.751261,
        "activity_lines": [
          331.798661,
          322.142362,
          302.109953,
          289.392775
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 367.450012,
        "volume": 27600,
        "typical_volume": 28445.0,
        "trend": 278.844001,
        "fair_value": 133.945577,
        "relative_strength": 38.651068,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.869083,
        "energy": 89.185679,
        "activity_lines": [
          345.052,
          332.205273,
          310.044097,
          295.38426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 343.23999,
        "volume": 44200,
        "typical_volume": 28565.0,
        "trend": 282.276334,
        "fair_value": 135.777244,
        "relative_strength": 28.822086,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.531275,
        "energy": 77.223148,
        "activity_lines": [
          346.493996,
          335.961271,
          315.111239,
          299.53884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 346.730011,
        "volume": 20800,
        "typical_volume": 26555.0,
        "trend": 285.597667,
        "fair_value": 137.644487,
        "relative_strength": 24.850072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.548586,
        "energy": 66.960769,
        "activity_lines": [
          347.996667,
          339.49,
          320.049621,
          303.697141
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}