{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "96cafbf5-e801-4bec-b16a-e0afba722c95",
    "symbol": "TVA-B",
    "name": "TVA Group Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.818,
    "architecture_energy": 88.547,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.295,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 80.36,
        "upward_expansion": 95.67,
        "deceleration": 42.88,
        "rotation_down": 11.44,
        "downward_expansion": 20.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.354,
        2.141455,
        1.838381,
        1.613548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.69,
    "trend_reference": 1.308,
    "distance_from_trend": 1.056575,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.119423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.403024,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 142.867403,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 3.483333,
    "excess_performance": 3.362912,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.056575,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.562724,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.403024,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.545881,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.428674,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.263338,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.483333,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.084337,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 94100,
      "relative_activity": 1.917669,
      "balance": 3.084337,
      "dry_up": 1.909517,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128682,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.056796,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 268.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.308,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.119423,
      "structural_low": 0.01,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.01173,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02684,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.757895,
        "worst_return": -0.269231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.043695,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02831,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.973684,
        "worst_return": -0.175926,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.208333,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.180542,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.112903,
        "worst_return": -0.284457,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.187351,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.208287,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.064516,
        "worst_return": -0.310185,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-07",
        "end": "2023-07-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022599,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2023-09-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.140704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-06",
        "end": "2023-10-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.074074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.270968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.316239,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.197368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.104478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.238095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.746753,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 29200.0,
        "trend": 1.875333,
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        "typical_volume": 69005.0,
        "trend": 0.739667,
        "fair_value": 1.112051,
        "relative_strength": 41.874722,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.179209,
        "energy": 49.726917,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.178,
          1.122909,
          0.954286,
          0.851699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 19300,
        "typical_volume": 64715.0,
        "trend": 0.752333,
        "fair_value": 1.108333,
        "relative_strength": 16.533574,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.719807,
        "energy": 31.392715,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.097333,
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          0.96681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 73800,
        "typical_volume": 67980.0,
        "trend": 0.78,
        "fair_value": 1.107885,
        "relative_strength": 73.352432,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.239676,
        "energy": 43.050716,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.188667,
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          1.022238,
          0.908344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 15900,
        "typical_volume": 67250.0,
        "trend": 0.806,
        "fair_value": 1.106603,
        "relative_strength": 65.607395,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.209899,
        "energy": 46.03951,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.265333,
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          0.948344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 1.54,
        "volume": 73700,
        "typical_volume": 61960.0,
        "trend": 0.837,
        "fair_value": 1.106603,
        "relative_strength": 78.156659,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.518333,
        "energy": 52.765154,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.995699
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 1.67,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 62360.0,
        "trend": 0.872667,
        "fair_value": 1.106731,
        "relative_strength": 91.754495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.812616,
        "energy": 78.437826,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.5,
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          1.049441
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 1.5,
        "volume": 3500,
        "typical_volume": 59630.0,
        "trend": 0.904667,
        "fair_value": 1.105128,
        "relative_strength": 67.783353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.672631,
        "energy": 70.313945,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 60290.0,
        "trend": 0.944333,
        "fair_value": 1.104744,
        "relative_strength": 91.477472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 74.876129,
        "energy": 75.208437,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.612667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 1.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 52815.0,
        "trend": 0.983333,
        "fair_value": 1.104038,
        "relative_strength": 81.083661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.15978,
        "energy": 65.123852,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.646,
          1.532182,
          1.355476,
          1.190624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.7,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 51700.0,
        "trend": 1.02,
        "fair_value": 1.10359,
        "relative_strength": 80.242853,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.952745,
        "energy": 54.188482,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.671333,
          1.583273,
          1.404095,
          1.23686
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.26,
        "volume": 173500,
        "typical_volume": 48005.0,
        "trend": 1.074,
        "fair_value": 1.106474,
        "relative_strength": 133.14783,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.524188,
        "energy": 70.003336,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.872667,
          1.726182,
          1.500952,
          1.31686
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.3,
        "volume": 74400,
        "typical_volume": 45980.0,
        "trend": 1.132,
        "fair_value": 1.109615,
        "relative_strength": 130.969764,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.548518,
        "energy": 76.128706,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.048,
          1.856182,
          1.594571,
          1.395957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.92,
        "volume": 163200,
        "typical_volume": 49815.0,
        "trend": 1.178333,
        "fair_value": 1.110128,
        "relative_strength": 88.352059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.789041,
        "energy": 58.844239,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.043333,
          1.892545,
          1.645,
          1.446796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.31,
        "volume": 43100,
        "typical_volume": 47160.0,
        "trend": 1.237,
        "fair_value": 1.113526,
        "relative_strength": 121.716924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.392036,
        "energy": 80.178733,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.156667,
          1.990727,
          1.727286,
          1.519806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.69,
        "volume": 94100,
        "typical_volume": 49070.0,
        "trend": 1.308,
        "fair_value": 1.119423,
        "relative_strength": 142.867403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.818433,
        "energy": 88.54726,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.354,
          2.141455,
          1.838381,
          1.613548
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}