{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96d2f625-691d-4512-949d-0a675b4c7aac", "symbol": "GFF", "name": "Griffon Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.9, "architecture_energy": 43.358, "architecture_maturity": 27.159, "architecture_confidence": 62.519, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.55, "rotation_up": 48.49, "upward_expansion": 70.75, "deceleration": 67.53, "rotation_down": 22.64, "downward_expansion": 6.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.112667, 93.744545, 91.156265, 88.48235 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 107.22, "trend_reference": 86.1918, "distance_from_trend": 0.24397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 69.705303, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.53819, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.737983, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.136288, "excess_performance": 0.010663, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.24397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075743, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.53819, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192404, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.17738, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160919, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.136288, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.958299, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2392431, "relative_activity": 1.367758, "balance": 0.958299, "dry_up": 0.932823, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0763, "annualized_volatility": 0.499331, "from_high_reference": -0.012434, "from_low_reference": 0.662539 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.1918, "fair_value_reference": 69.705303, "structural_low": 67.341608, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"trend": 84.410694, "fair_value": 68.662776, "relative_strength": 4.618768, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.793988, "energy": 37.844928, "activity_lines": [ 92.289333, 91.360225, 88.488425, 86.58785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 90.62, "volume": 1197855, "typical_volume": 1747040.6, "trend": 84.925444, "fair_value": 68.985153, "relative_strength": 4.380549, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.88403, "energy": 29.580586, "activity_lines": [ 91.63, 91.536514, 89.059122, 86.98845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.17, "volume": 1596925, "typical_volume": 1733331.45, "trend": 85.309107, "fair_value": 69.280496, "relative_strength": -1.58548, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.913597, "energy": 14.812811, "activity_lines": [ 89.521333, 90.740545, 89.142281, 87.068744 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.22, "volume": 2392431, "typical_volume": 1749162.35, "trend": 86.1918, "fair_value": 69.705303, "relative_strength": 17.737983, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.900459, "energy": 43.358395, "activity_lines": [ 95.112667, 93.744545, 91.156265, 88.48235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }